Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 16
Dec 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
Prince Sultan bin Abdul Aziz Stadium

Damac
3 - 1
Al Ittihad

N'Koudou (12', 45+7'), Grohe (46' og.)
Al-Hawsawi (22')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Hamdallah (45+3' pen.)
Hamdallah (68'), Al-Shamrani (75'), Kadesh (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Saudi Pro League clash between Damac and Al Ittihad, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Damac

All competitions
Last Game: Al Fayha 2-4 Damac
Friday, December 1 at 3pm in Saudi Pro League

Al Ittihad

All competitions
Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Ittihad 2-1 Sepahan
Monday, December 4 at 6pm in AFC Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ittihad win with a probability of 51.94%. A win for Damac had a probability of 24.56% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al Ittihad win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.72%) and 0-2 (8.55%). The likeliest Damac win was 1-0 (6.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.

Result
DamacDrawAl Ittihad
24.56% (-0.023 -0.02)23.5% (0.00099999999999767 0)51.94% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Both teams to score 56.19% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.27% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)44.73% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.91% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)67.09% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Damac Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.89% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)32.11% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.41% (-0.032999999999998 -0.03)68.58% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
Al Ittihad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.76% (0.0010000000000048 0)17.24% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.46%47.54% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    Damac 24.56%
    Al Ittihad 51.94%
    Draw 23.5%
DamacDrawAl Ittihad
1-0 @ 6.29%
2-1 @ 6.28% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-0 @ 3.57% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
3-1 @ 2.38% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
3-2 @ 2.09% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 1.35% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 24.56%
1-1 @ 11.05%
0-0 @ 5.53% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-2 @ 5.52% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1.23% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.5%
0-1 @ 9.73% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.72% (0.0010000000000012 0)
0-2 @ 8.55% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
1-3 @ 5.7% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 5.01% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 3.24% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-4 @ 2.5%
0-4 @ 2.2% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-4 @ 1.42% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.87%
Total : 51.94%

How you voted: Damac vs Al Ittihad

Damac
20.8%
Draw
8.3%
Al Ittihad
70.8%
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