Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Damac win with a probability of 60.75%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Abha had a probability of 18.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Damac win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.48%) and 1-0 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.63%), while for an Abha win it was 1-2 (5.05%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Damac would win this match.