AFC Champions League | Group Stage

Dec 4, 2023 at 6pm UK

King Abdullah Sports City

Al Ittihad
2 - 1
Sepahan

Al-Amri (14'), Jota (69')
Felipe (19'), Hamdallah (45'), Al-Ghamdi (68'), Al Hawsawi (90+2')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Rezaeian (48')
Dabo (45+4'), Asadi (68'), Niazmand (88')

Coverage of the AFC Champions League Group Stage clash between Al Ittihad and Sepahan.

Form, Standings, Stats

Al Ittihad

All competitions

AFC Champions League

Last Game: Al Ittihad 4-2 Al Khaleej
Thursday, November 30 at 6pm in Saudi Pro League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Sepahan

All competitions

Last Game: Sepahan 1-0 Al Quwa Al Jawiya
Monday, November 27 at 6pm in AFC Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ittihad win with a probability of 58.28%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Sepahan had a probability of 18.84%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al Ittihad win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.7%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.88%), while for a Sepahan win it was 0-1 (6.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al Ittihad would win this match.

Result
Al Ittihad	Draw	Sepahan
58.28% ( 4.96)	22.88% ( -1.64)	18.84% ( -3.33)

Both teams to score 50.19% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.2% (

2.57)

48.79% (

-2.57)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.1% (

2.28)

70.9% (

-2.29)

Al Ittihad Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.55% (

2.76)

16.44% (

-2.77)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.87% (

4.78)

46.12% (

-4.78)

Sepahan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.06% (

-2.01)

39.93% (

2.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.4% (

-1.9)

76.59% (

1.89)

Score Analysis

Al Ittihad 58.28%

Sepahan 18.84%

Draw 22.88%

Al Ittihad	Draw	Sepahan
1-0 @ 11.85% ( -0.17) 2-0 @ 10.7% ( 0.79) 2-1 @ 9.82% ( 0.21) 3-0 @ 6.44% ( 0.99) 3-1 @ 5.91% ( 0.63) 4-0 @ 2.91% ( 0.66) 3-2 @ 2.71% ( 0.15) 4-1 @ 2.67% ( 0.49) 4-2 @ 1.22% ( 0.17) 5-0 @ 1.05% ( 0.31) 5-1 @ 0.96% ( 0.24) Other @ 2.03% Total : 58.28%	1-1 @ 10.88% ( -0.77) 0-0 @ 6.57% ( -0.72) 2-2 @ 4.51% ( -0.15) Other @ 0.92% Total : 22.88%	0-1 @ 6.03% ( -1.04) 1-2 @ 4.99% ( -0.66) 0-2 @ 2.77% ( -0.66) 1-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.3) 2-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.13) Other @ 2.14% Total : 18.84%