AFC Champions League | Group Stage
Nov 27, 2023 at 6pm UK
Naghsh-e-Jahan Stadium

Sepahan
1 - 0
Al Quwa Al Jawiya

Ahmadzadeh (4')
Ahmadzadeh (8'), Rezaeian (82'), Niazmand (90+12')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Bayesh (24'), Abdul-Amir (27'), Atchou (81'), Saadoun (82'), Mashaan (90')
Coverage of the AFC Champions League Group Stage clash between Sepahan and Al Quwa Al Jawiya.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sepahan

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Sepahan 9-0 AGMK
Monday, November 6 at 6pm in AFC Champions League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Al Quwa Al Jawiya

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Al Quwa Al Jawiya 2-0 Al Ittihad
Monday, November 6 at 12pm in AFC Champions League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sepahan win with a probability of 55.07%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Al Quwa Al Jawiya had a probability of 19.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sepahan win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.01%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.73%), while for an Al Quwa Al Jawiya win it was 0-1 (7.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sepahan in this match.

Result
SepahanDrawAl Quwa Al Jawiya
55.07% (-0.209 -0.21)24.98% (0.059999999999999 0.06)19.95% (0.149 0.15)
Both teams to score 45.85% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.49% (-0.055 -0.05)55.5% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.31% (-0.044999999999998 -0.04)76.68% (0.043000000000006 0.04)
Sepahan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.87% (-0.10599999999999 -0.11)20.13% (0.105 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.6% (-0.16800000000001 -0.17)52.4% (0.168 0.17)
Al Quwa Al Jawiya Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.41% (0.131 0.13)42.59% (-0.132 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.05% (0.113 0.11)78.94% (-0.114 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Sepahan 55.06%
    Al Quwa Al Jawiya 19.95%
    Draw 24.98%
SepahanDrawAl Quwa Al Jawiya
1-0 @ 13.74% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 11.01% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-1 @ 9.4% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.89% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-1 @ 5.02% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.36% (-0.025 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.14% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.01% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 55.06%
1-1 @ 11.73% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 8.57% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.01% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 24.98%
0-1 @ 7.32% (0.042 0.04)
1-2 @ 5.01% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
0-2 @ 3.12% (0.029 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.42% (0.014 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.14% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 19.95%

Head to Head
Sep 18, 2023 5pm
Group Stage
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
2-2
Sepahan
Jasim Elaibi Al Tameemi (26', 88')
Bayesh (37')
Daneshgar (30'), Ghorbani (67')
Barbosa Nascimento Junior (90')