AFC Champions League | Group Stage
Oct 23, 2023 at 3pm UK
OKMK Sport Majmuasi

AGMK
1 - 3
Sepahan

Mirakhmadov (36')
Rustamov (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Zakipour (22'), Rezaeian (32', 49'), Asadi (59')
Yousefi (4'), Asadi (77')
Coverage of the AFC Champions League Group Stage clash between AGMK and Sepahan.

Form, Standings, Stats

AGMK

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: AGMK 1-2 Al Quwa Al Jawiya
Monday, October 2 at 1pm in AFC Champions League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Sepahan

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Al Quwa Al Jawiya 2-2 Sepahan
Monday, September 18 at 5pm in AFC Champions League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AGMK win with a probability of 38.7%. A win for Sepahan had a probability of 34.12% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an AGMK win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.26%) and 2-0 (6.97%). The likeliest Sepahan win was 0-1 (10.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.

Result
AGMKDrawSepahan
38.7% (-1.065 -1.07)27.18% (-0.445 -0.45)34.12% (1.512 1.51)
Both teams to score 50.14% (1.663 1.66)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.75% (1.951 1.95)55.26% (-1.949 -1.95)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.52% (1.578 1.58)76.48% (-1.577 -1.58)
AGMK Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.22% (0.324 0.32)27.78% (-0.323 -0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.64% (0.41500000000001 0.42)63.36% (-0.413 -0.41)
Sepahan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.43% (2.002 2)30.57% (-2 -2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.2% (2.308 2.31)66.8% (-2.306 -2.31)
Score Analysis
    AGMK 38.69%
    Sepahan 34.12%
    Draw 27.18%
AGMKDrawSepahan
1-0 @ 10.87% (-0.74 -0.74)
2-1 @ 8.26% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 6.97% (-0.407 -0.41)
3-1 @ 3.53% (0.026 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.97% (-0.145 -0.15)
3-2 @ 2.09% (0.126 0.13)
4-1 @ 1.13% (0.019 0.02)
4-0 @ 0.95% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 38.69%
1-1 @ 12.89% (-0.14 -0.14)
0-0 @ 8.49% (-0.661 -0.66)
2-2 @ 4.89% (0.253 0.25)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 27.18%
0-1 @ 10.06% (-0.2 -0.2)
1-2 @ 7.64% (0.33 0.33)
0-2 @ 5.97% (0.205 0.21)
1-3 @ 3.02% (0.284 0.28)
0-3 @ 2.36% (0.202 0.2)
2-3 @ 1.93% (0.198 0.2)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 34.12%

How you voted: AGMK vs Sepahan

AGMK
42.9%
Draw
42.9%
Sepahan
14.3%
7