AFC Champions League | Group Stage
Nov 6, 2023 at 6pm UK
Naghsh-e-Jahan Stadium

Sepahan
9 - 0
AGMK

Ahmadzadeh (8'), Asadi (59'), Hosseinnezhad (60', 90+3'), Ghorbani (62'), Rezaeian (71'), Alekasir (79' pen., 87'), Moghanlou (82')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Kasymov (37')
Komilov (66')
Coverage of the AFC Champions League Group Stage clash between Sepahan and AGMK.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: AGMK 1-3 Sepahan
Monday, October 23 at 3pm in AFC Champions League
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Last Game: AGMK 1-3 Sepahan
Monday, October 23 at 3pm in AFC Champions League
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sepahan win with a probability of 49.04%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for AGMK had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sepahan win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.36%) and 2-1 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.33%), while for an AGMK win it was 0-1 (8.24%). The actual scoreline of 9-0 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sepahan would win this match.

Result
SepahanDrawAGMK
49.04% (-4.599 -4.6)26.06% (0.538 0.54)24.9% (4.06 4.06)
Both teams to score 48.61% (2.995 3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.11% (1.588 1.59)54.89% (-1.589 -1.59)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.82% (1.295 1.3)76.18% (-1.295 -1.29)
Sepahan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.58% (-1.315 -1.32)22.41% (1.316 1.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.06% (-2.009 -2.01)55.93% (2.009 2.01)
AGMK Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.65% (4.841 4.84)37.35% (-4.841 -4.84)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.87% (4.466 4.47)74.13% (-4.466 -4.47)
Score Analysis
    Sepahan 49.03%
    AGMK 24.9%
    Draw 26.06%
SepahanDrawAGMK
1-0 @ 12.51% (-1.34 -1.34)
2-0 @ 9.36% (-1.409 -1.41)
2-1 @ 9.22% (-0.078999999999999 -0.08)
3-0 @ 4.67% (-0.922 -0.92)
3-1 @ 4.6% (-0.227 -0.23)
3-2 @ 2.26% (0.182 0.18)
4-0 @ 1.75% (-0.429 -0.43)
4-1 @ 1.72% (-0.158 -0.16)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 49.03%
1-1 @ 12.33% (0.38 0.38)
0-0 @ 8.37% (-0.53 -0.53)
2-2 @ 4.54% (0.527 0.53)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 26.06%
0-1 @ 8.24% (0.563 0.56)
1-2 @ 6.07% (0.915 0.92)
0-2 @ 4.06% (0.746 0.75)
1-3 @ 1.99% (0.509 0.51)
2-3 @ 1.49% (0.337 0.34)
0-3 @ 1.33% (0.38 0.38)
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 24.9%

Head to Head
Oct 23, 2023 3pm
Group Stage
AGMK
1-3
Sepahan
Mirakhmadov (36')
Rustamov (90+4')
Rezaeian (32', 49'), Asadi (59')
Yousefi (4'), Asadi (77')