Club World Cup | Second Round
Dec 15, 2023 at 6pm UK
King Abdullah Sports City

Al Ahly
3 - 1
Al Ittihad

Maaloul (21' pen.), El Shahat (59'), Ashour (62')
Ashour (36'), El Shahat (61'), Kahraba (69')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Benzema (90+2')
Fabinho (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Club World Cup clash between Al Ahly and Al Ittihad, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Al Ahly

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Last Game: Wydad 1-1 Al Ahly
Sunday, June 11 at 8pm in CAF Champions League
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Al Ittihad

All competitions
Club World Cup
Last Game: Al Ittihad 3-0 Auckland City
Tuesday, December 12 at 6pm in Club World Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ahly win with a probability of 49.49%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Al Ittihad had a probability of 24.98%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al Ahly win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.12%), while for an Al Ittihad win it was 0-1 (7.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al Ahly would win this match.

Result
Al AhlyDrawAl Ittihad
49.49%25.53%24.98%
Both teams to score 50.23%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.2%52.8%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.57%74.42%
Al Ahly Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.64%21.35%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.68%54.32%
Al Ittihad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.87%36.13%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.09%72.91%
Score Analysis
    Al Ahly 49.49%
    Al Ittihad 24.98%
    Draw 25.52%
Al AhlyDrawAl Ittihad
1-0 @ 11.91%
2-1 @ 9.36%
2-0 @ 9.2%
3-1 @ 4.82%
3-0 @ 4.73%
3-2 @ 2.45%
4-1 @ 1.86%
4-0 @ 1.83%
4-2 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 49.49%
1-1 @ 12.12%
0-0 @ 7.71%
2-2 @ 4.77%
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 25.52%
0-1 @ 7.85%
1-2 @ 6.17%
0-2 @ 4%
1-3 @ 2.1%
2-3 @ 1.62%
0-3 @ 1.36%
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 24.98%

How you voted: Al Ahly vs Al Ittihad

Al Ahly
33.3%
Draw
16.7%
Al Ittihad
50.0%
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