Al-Nassr
Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 18
Dec 22, 2023 at 3pm UK
Mrsool Park

Al-Nassr
3 - 1
Al Ettifaq

Telles (43'), Brozovic (59'), Ronaldo (73' pen.)
Laporte (45+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Al Kuwaykibi (85')
Dembele (36'), Tisserand (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al-Nassr and Al Ettifaq, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Al Ettifaq 0-2 Al-Taawoun
Saturday, December 16 at 6pm in Saudi Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 71.37%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Al Ettifaq had a probability of 11.43%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.85%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.12%), while for an Al Ettifaq win it was 0-1 (3.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Al-Nassr in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Al-Nassr.

Result
Al-NassrDrawAl Ettifaq
71.37% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)17.19% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)11.43% (0.012 0.01)
Both teams to score 50.76% (0.047999999999995 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.39% (0.046999999999997 0.05)38.61% (-0.040000000000006 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.09% (0.048000000000002 0.05)60.92% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Al-Nassr Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.43% (0.015000000000001 0.02)9.57% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.97% (0.027000000000001 0.03)32.03% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Al Ettifaq Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.13% (0.048000000000002 0.05)43.87% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.99% (0.038999999999998 0.04)80.02% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Al-Nassr 71.37%
    Al Ettifaq 11.43%
    Draw 17.19%
Al-NassrDrawAl Ettifaq
2-0 @ 11.55% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-0 @ 9.85% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.52% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 9.04% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 7.45% (0.0039999999999996 0)
4-0 @ 5.3% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 4.37% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-2 @ 3.07% (0.0049999999999999 0)
5-0 @ 2.49%
5-1 @ 2.05% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-2 @ 1.8% (0.004 0)
6-0 @ 0.97% (0.001 0)
Other @ 3.9%
Total : 71.37%
1-1 @ 8.12% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 4.2% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.92% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 17.19%
0-1 @ 3.46% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 3.35% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 1.43% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.08% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 0.92% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.21%
Total : 11.43%

How you voted: Al-Nassr vs Al Ettifaq

Al-Nassr
90.6%
Draw
6.3%
Al Ettifaq
3.1%
32
Head to Head
Aug 14, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 1
Al Ettifaq
2-1
Al-Nassr
Quaison (47'), Dembele (53')
Mane (4')
Al-Sulaiheem (13'), Al Naji (90+14')