Saudi Pro League Gameweek 18
Dec 22, 2023 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT Mrsool Park
  • Alex Telles 43' goal
  • Aymeric Laporte 45'+5' yellowcard
  • Marcelo Brozovic 59' goal
  • Cristiano Ronaldo 73' goal
  • yellowcard Moussa Dembele 36'
  • yellowcard Marcel Tisserand 84'
  • goal Mohammed Al Kuwaykibi 85'

Al-Nassr vs Al Ettifaq - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Al-Nassr

All competitions
Saudi Pro League
Last game
Dec 8, 2023 6.00pm
Al-Nassr 4 - 1 Al Riyadh
Goals scored
100
Top scorer
Cristiano Ronaldo

Al Ettifaq

All competitions
Saudi Pro League
Last game
Dec 16, 2023 6.00pm
Al Ettifaq 0 - 2 Al-Taawoun
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Moussa Dembele

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 71.37%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Al Ettifaq had a probability of 11.43%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.85%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.12%), while for an Al Ettifaq win it was 0-1 (3.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Al-Nassr in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Al-Nassr.

Result

Al-Nassr 71.37% (-0.01)
Draw 17.19% (-0.01)
Al Ettifaq 11.43% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.76% (+0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5 61.39% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 38.61% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 39.09% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 60.92% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 21.41% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 78.59% (-0.04)

Al-Nassr Goals

Over 0.5 90.43% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 9.57% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 67.97% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 32.03% (-0.02)

Al Ettifaq Goals

Over 0.5 56.13% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 43.87% (-0.05)
Over 1.5 19.99% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 80.02% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Al-Nassr 71.37%
Draw 17.19%
Al Ettifaq 11.43%
Al-Nassr
2-0 @ 11.55% (-0.02)
1-0 @ 9.85% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 9.52% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 9.04% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 7.45% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 5.3% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 4.37% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.07% (+0.01)
5-0 @ 2.49%
5-1 @ 2.05% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.8% (+0.01)
Other @ 4.87%
Total : 71.37%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.12% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.2% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 3.92% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 17.19%
Al Ettifaq
0-1 @ 3.46% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 3.35% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 1.43% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.08% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 11.43%

Head to Head

Saudi Pro League Gameweek 1
Aug 14, 2023 7.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Prince Mohamed bin Fahd Stadium
  • Robin Quaison 47' goal
  • Moussa Dembele 53' goal
  • goal Sadio Mane 4'
  • yellowcard Abdulmajeed Al-Sulaiheem 13'
  • yellowcard Sami Al Naji 90'+14'