Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 15

Dec 1, 2023 at 6pm UK

King Fahd Sport City Stadium

Al-Hilal
3 - 0
Al-Nassr

Milinkovic-Savic (64'), Mitrovic (90', 90+2')
Mitrovic (69'), Koulibaly (79'), Malcom (90+5'), Jahfali (90+10')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Otavio (40'), Yahya (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al-Hilal and Al-Nassr, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Al-Hilal

All competitions

Saudi Pro League

Last Game: Navbahor 0-2 Al-Hilal
Tuesday, November 28 at 4pm in AFC Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Al-Nassr

All competitions

Saudi Pro League

Last Game: Al-Nassr 0-0 Persepolis
Monday, November 27 at 6pm in AFC Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 44.95%. A win for Al-Nassr had a probability of 31.61% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.54%) and 2-0 (6.48%). The likeliest Al-Nassr win was 1-2 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Hilal would win this match.

Result
Al-Hilal	Draw	Al-Nassr
44.95% ( -0.31)	23.44% ( 0.32)	31.61% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 61.98% (

-1.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.45% (

-1.57)

39.55% (

1.57)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.1% (

-1.66)

61.89% (

1.66)

Al-Hilal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.06% (

-0.74)

17.94% (

0.74)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.24% (

-1.29)

48.76% (

1.29)

Al-Nassr Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.54% (

-0.78)

24.46% (

0.77)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.09% (

-1.1)

58.9% (

1.1)

Score Analysis

Al-Hilal 44.95%

Al-Nassr 31.61%

Draw 23.43%

Al-Hilal	Draw	Al-Nassr
2-1 @ 9.12% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 7.54% ( 0.37) 2-0 @ 6.48% ( 0.17) 3-1 @ 5.22% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 3.71% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.68% ( -0.16) 4-1 @ 2.24% ( -0.1) 4-0 @ 1.59% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.58% ( -0.11) Other @ 3.78% Total : 44.95%	1-1 @ 10.61% ( 0.29) 2-2 @ 6.42% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 4.39% ( 0.31) 3-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.43%	1-2 @ 7.47% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 6.18% ( 0.31) 0-2 @ 4.35% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 3.51% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 3.01% ( -0.13) 0-3 @ 2.04% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.24% ( -0.05) 2-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.75% Total : 31.61%