Saudi Pro League
Gameweek
15
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-
Sergej Milinkovic-Savic
64'
-
Aleksandar Mitrovic
69'
-
Kalidou Koulibaly
79'
-
Aleksandar Mitrovic
90'
-
Aleksandar Mitrovic
90'+2'
-
Ali Albulayhi
90'+3'
-
Malcom
90'+5'
-
Mohammed Jahfali
90'+10'
-
Otavio
40'
-
Ayman Yahya
90'+2'
Al-Hilal vs Al-Nassr - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 44.95%. A win for Al-Nassr had a probability of 31.61% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.54%) and 2-0 (6.48%). The likeliest Al-Nassr win was 1-2 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Hilal would win this match.
Result
Al-Hilal
44.95%
▼
(-0.31)
Draw
23.44%
▲
(+0.33)
Al-Nassr
31.61%
▼
(-0.02)
Both Teams to Score:
61.98%
▼
(-1.21)
Goals
Over 2.5
60.45%
▼
(-1.58)
Under 2.5
39.55%
▲
(+1.58)
Over 3.5
38.1%
▼
(-1.66)
Under 3.5
61.89%
▲
(+1.66)
Over 4.5
20.64%
▼
(-1.32)
Under 4.5
79.36%
▲
(+1.31)
Al-Hilal Goals
Over 0.5
82.06%
▼
(-0.75)
Under 0.5
17.94%
▲
(+0.75)
Over 1.5
51.24%
▼
(-1.30)
Under 1.5
48.76%
▲
(+1.29)
Al-Nassr Goals
Over 0.5
75.54%
▼
(-0.78)
Under 0.5
24.46%
▲
(+0.78)
Over 1.5
41.09%
▼
(-1.11)
Under 1.5
58.9%
▲
(+1.11)
Score analysis
Al-Hilal
44.95%
Draw
23.43%
Al-Nassr
31.61%
Al-Hilal
2-1
@
9.12%
▲
(+0.03)
1-0 @ 7.54% ▲ (+0.37)
2-0 @ 6.48% ▲ (+0.17)
3-1 @ 5.22% ▼ (-0.11)
3-0 @ 3.71% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.68% ▼ (-0.17)
4-1 @ 2.24% ▼ (-0.11)
4-0 @ 1.59% ▼ (-0.04)
4-2 @ 1.58% ▼ (-0.12)
Other @ 3.78%
Total : 44.95%
1-0 @ 7.54% ▲ (+0.37)
2-0 @ 6.48% ▲ (+0.17)
3-1 @ 5.22% ▼ (-0.11)
3-0 @ 3.71% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.68% ▼ (-0.17)
4-1 @ 2.24% ▼ (-0.11)
4-0 @ 1.59% ▼ (-0.04)
4-2 @ 1.58% ▼ (-0.12)
Other @ 3.78%
Total : 44.95%
Draw
1-1
@
10.61%
▲
(+0.29)
2-2 @ 6.42% ▼ (-0.13)
0-0 @ 4.39% ▲ (+0.32)
3-3 @ 1.73% ▼ (-0.12)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.43%
2-2 @ 6.42% ▼ (-0.13)
0-0 @ 4.39% ▲ (+0.32)
3-3 @ 1.73% ▼ (-0.12)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.43%
Al-Nassr
1-2
@
7.47%
▲
(+0.04)
0-1 @ 6.18% ▲ (+0.32)
0-2 @ 4.35% ▲ (+0.13)
1-3 @ 3.51% ▼ (-0.07)
2-3 @ 3.01% ▼ (-0.13)
0-3 @ 2.04% ▲ (+0.02)
1-4 @ 1.24% ▼ (-0.06)
2-4 @ 1.06% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 31.61%
0-1 @ 6.18% ▲ (+0.32)
0-2 @ 4.35% ▲ (+0.13)
1-3 @ 3.51% ▼ (-0.07)
2-3 @ 3.01% ▼ (-0.13)
0-3 @ 2.04% ▲ (+0.02)
1-4 @ 1.24% ▼ (-0.06)
2-4 @ 1.06% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 31.61%