Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 58.26%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Mumbai City had a probability of 19.33%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.19%) and 1-2 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.63%), while for a Mumbai City win it was 1-0 (5.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Hilal would win this match.