AFC Champions League | Group Stage
Oct 3, 2023 at 3pm UK
Markaziy Stadion

Navbahor
3 - 0
Mumbai City

Iskanderov (52'), Yakhshibaev (58'), Abdumannopov (88')
Yoldoshev (62'), Akhmedov (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Pereyra Diaz (66')
Coverage of the AFC Champions League Group Stage clash between Navbahor and Mumbai City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Navbahor

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Last Game: Al-Hilal 1-1 Navbahor
Monday, September 18 at 7pm in AFC Champions League
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Mumbai City

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Last Game: Mumbai City 0-2 Nassaji Mazandaran
Monday, September 18 at 3pm in AFC Champions League
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mumbai City win with a probability of 55.35%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Navbahor had a probability of 21.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mumbai City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.86%) and 0-2 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.83%), while for a Navbahor win it was 1-0 (5.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.

Result
NavbahorDrawMumbai City
21.73% (0.911 0.91)22.92% (0.138 0.14)55.35% (-1.05 -1.05)
Both teams to score 54.57% (0.878 0.88)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.8% (0.527 0.53)45.2% (-0.527 -0.53)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.45% (0.502 0.5)67.55% (-0.504 -0.5)
Navbahor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.12% (1.183 1.18)34.89% (-1.183 -1.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.38% (1.227 1.23)71.62% (-1.228 -1.23)
Mumbai City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.81% (-0.176 -0.18)16.19% (0.175 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.33% (-0.32 -0.32)45.67% (0.32100000000001 0.32)
Score Analysis
    Navbahor 21.73%
    Mumbai City 55.34%
    Draw 22.92%
NavbahorDrawMumbai City
1-0 @ 5.95% (0.057 0.06)
2-1 @ 5.7% (0.202 0.2)
2-0 @ 3.13% (0.128 0.13)
3-1 @ 2% (0.132 0.13)
3-2 @ 1.82% (0.109 0.11)
3-0 @ 1.1% (0.079 0.08)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 21.73%
1-1 @ 10.83% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 5.65% (-0.129 -0.13)
2-2 @ 5.19% (0.154 0.15)
3-3 @ 1.11% (0.06 0.06)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 22.92%
0-1 @ 10.28% (-0.3 -0.3)
1-2 @ 9.86% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-2 @ 9.36% (-0.328 -0.33)
1-3 @ 5.98% (-0.049 -0.05)
0-3 @ 5.68% (-0.234 -0.23)
2-3 @ 3.15% (0.075 0.07)
1-4 @ 2.72% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-4 @ 2.59% (-0.123 -0.12)
2-4 @ 1.43% (0.026 0.03)
1-5 @ 0.99% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-5 @ 0.94% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 55.34%