MX23RW : Saturday, July 27 01:54:43| >> :60:131:131:
AFC Champions League | Group Stage
Dec 5, 2023 at 4pm UK
Respublikanskiy Stadion im. M.V. Frunze
Al-Nassr

Istiqlol Dushanbe
1 - 1
Al-Nassr

Dzhalilov (32')
Dzhalilov (33'), Karomatullozoda (64'), Sebai (79')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Ghareeb (50')
Qassem (45+5'), Al Naji (47'), Otavio (90+4')
Coverage of the AFC Champions League Group Stage clash between Istiqlol Dushanbe and Al-Nassr.

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Al-Duhail 2-0 Istiqlol Dushanbe
Monday, November 27 at 4pm in AFC Champions League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 50.8%. A win for Istiqlol Dushanbe had a probability of 26.43% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.16%) and 0-2 (7.52%). The likeliest Istiqlol Dushanbe win was 2-1 (6.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.

Result
Istiqlol DushanbeDrawAl-Nassr
26.43% (-0.488 -0.49) 22.77% (-0.028000000000002 -0.03) 50.8% (0.515 0.52)
Both teams to score 60.64% (-0.365 -0.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.29% (-0.281 -0.28)39.71% (0.281 0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.94% (-0.294 -0.29)62.06% (0.294 0.29)
Istiqlol Dushanbe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.03% (-0.50099999999999 -0.5)27.97% (0.5 0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.39% (-0.642 -0.64)63.61% (0.642 0.64)
Al-Nassr Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.2% (0.076999999999998 0.08)15.8% (-0.077 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.04% (0.145 0.14)44.96% (-0.145 -0.14)
Score Analysis
    Istiqlol Dushanbe 26.43%
    Al-Nassr 50.81%
    Draw 22.76%
Istiqlol DushanbeDrawAl-Nassr
2-1 @ 6.62% (-0.082 -0.08)
1-0 @ 5.63% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 3.59% (-0.054 -0.05)
3-1 @ 2.81% (-0.075 -0.08)
3-2 @ 2.59% (-0.062 -0.06)
3-0 @ 1.52% (-0.045 -0.05)
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 26.43%
1-1 @ 10.38% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.11% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-0 @ 4.42% (0.058 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.6% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 22.76%
1-2 @ 9.58% (0.042 0.04)
0-1 @ 8.16% (0.128 0.13)
0-2 @ 7.52% (0.137 0.14)
1-3 @ 5.9% (0.042 0.04)
0-3 @ 4.63% (0.097 0.1)
2-3 @ 3.76% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-4 @ 2.72% (0.026 0.03)
0-4 @ 2.13% (0.05 0.05)
2-4 @ 1.73% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-5 @ 1% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 50.81%

How you voted: Istiqlol Dushanbe vs Al-Nassr

Istiqlol Dushanbe
0.0%
Draw
16.7%
Al-Nassr
83.3%
12
Head to Head
Oct 2, 2023 7pm
Group Stage
Al-Nassr
3-1
Istiqlol Dushanbe
Ronaldo (66'), Talisca (72', 77')
Sebai (44')
Sebai (77')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bournemouth00000000
2Arsenal00000000
3Aston Villa00000000
4Brentford00000000
5Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton00000000
6Chelsea00000000
7Crystal Palace00000000
8Everton00000000
9Fulham00000000
10Ipswich TownIpswich00000000
11Leicester CityLeicester00000000
12Liverpool00000000
13Manchester CityMan City00000000
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd00000000
15Newcastle UnitedNewcastle00000000
16Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest00000000
17Southampton00000000
18Tottenham HotspurSpurs00000000
19West Ham UnitedWest Ham00000000
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves00000000


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!