AFC Champions League
Dec 5, 2023 4.00pm
1
1
HT :
1
0
FT
Respublikanskiy Stadion im. M.V. Frunze
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-
Alisher Dzhalilov
32'
-
Alisher Dzhalilov
33'
-
Alijon Karomatullozoda
64'
-
Senin Sebai
79'
-
Sami Al Naji
47'
-
Abdulrahman Ghareeb
50'
-
Mohammed Qassem
45'+5'
-
Otavio
90'+4'
Istiqlol Dushanbe vs Al-Nassr - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 50.8%. A win for Istiqlol Dushanbe had a probability of 26.43% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.16%) and 0-2 (7.52%). The likeliest Istiqlol Dushanbe win was 2-1 (6.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.
Result
Istiqlol Dushanbe
26.43%
▼
(-0.49)
Draw
22.77%
▼
(-0.03)
Al-Nassr
50.8%
▲
(+0.52)
Both Teams to Score:
60.64%
▼
(-0.37)
Goals
Over 2.5
60.29%
▼
(-0.29)
Under 2.5
39.71%
▲
(+0.29)
Over 3.5
37.94%
▼
(-0.30)
Under 3.5
62.06%
▲
(+0.30)
Over 4.5
20.51%
▼
(-0.23)
Under 4.5
79.49%
▲
(+0.23)
Istiqlol Dushanbe Goals
Over 0.5
72.03%
▼
(-0.51)
Under 0.5
27.97%
▲
(+0.50)
Over 1.5
36.39%
▼
(-0.65)
Under 1.5
63.61%
▲
(+0.65)
Al-Nassr Goals
Over 0.5
84.2%
▲
(+0.08)
Under 0.5
15.8%
▼
(-0.08)
Over 1.5
55.04%
▲
(+0.15)
Under 1.5
44.96%
▼
(-0.15)
Score analysis
Istiqlol Dushanbe
26.43%
Draw
22.76%
Al-Nassr
50.81%
Istiqlol Dushanbe
2-1
@
6.62%
▼
(-0.09)
1-0 @ 5.63% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 3.59% ▼ (-0.06)
3-1 @ 2.81% ▼ (-0.08)
3-2 @ 2.59% ▼ (-0.07)
3-0 @ 1.52% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 26.43%
1-0 @ 5.63% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 3.59% ▼ (-0.06)
3-1 @ 2.81% ▼ (-0.08)
3-2 @ 2.59% ▼ (-0.07)
3-0 @ 1.52% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 26.43%
Draw
1-1
@
10.38%
▲
(+0.02)
2-2 @ 6.11% ▼ (-0.06)
0-0 @ 4.42% ▲ (+0.06)
3-3 @ 1.6% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 22.76%
2-2 @ 6.11% ▼ (-0.06)
0-0 @ 4.42% ▲ (+0.06)
3-3 @ 1.6% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 22.76%
Al-Nassr
1-2
@
9.58%
▲
(+0.05)
0-1 @ 8.16% ▲ (+0.13)
0-2 @ 7.52% ▲ (+0.14)
1-3 @ 5.9% ▲ (+0.05)
0-3 @ 4.63% ▲ (+0.10)
2-3 @ 3.76% ▼ (-0.03)
1-4 @ 2.72% ▲ (+0.03)
0-4 @ 2.13% ▲ (+0.05)
2-4 @ 1.73% ▼ (-0.01)
1-5 @ 1% ▼ (-98.10)
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 50.81%
0-1 @ 8.16% ▲ (+0.13)
0-2 @ 7.52% ▲ (+0.14)
1-3 @ 5.9% ▲ (+0.05)
0-3 @ 4.63% ▲ (+0.10)
2-3 @ 3.76% ▼ (-0.03)
1-4 @ 2.72% ▲ (+0.03)
0-4 @ 2.13% ▲ (+0.05)
2-4 @ 1.73% ▼ (-0.01)
1-5 @ 1% ▼ (-98.10)
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 50.81%
Head to Head
AFC Champions League
-
Cristiano Ronaldo
66'
-
Anderson Talisca
72'
-
Anderson Talisca
77'
-
Senin Sebai
44'
-
Senin Sebai
77'