AFC Champions League | Group Stage

Nov 27, 2023 at 4pm UK

Abdullah bin Nasser bin Khalifa Stadium

Al-Duhail
2 - 0
Istiqlol Dushanbe

Olunga (47', 89')
Madibo (9'), Ellethy (80'), Said (90+5')

FT(HT: 0-1)

(11')
Sebai (22'), Karomatullozoda (80')

Coverage of the AFC Champions League Group Stage clash between Al-Duhail and Istiqlol Dushanbe.

Form, Standings, Stats

Al-Duhail

All competitions

AFC Champions League

Last Game: Al-Duhail 2-3 Al-Nassr
Tuesday, November 7 at 6pm in AFC Champions League

Goals
for

Istiqlol Dushanbe

All competitions

Last Game: Istiqlol Dushanbe 1-1 Persepolis
Tuesday, November 7 at 2pm in AFC Champions League

	Team	Goals scored	Avg per game	Top scorer
1	Al Gharafa	29	3.22	Brahimi
2	Al-Sadd	21	3.00	Afif
3	Al-Duhail	18	2.57	Olunga
4	Al Ahli	17	1.89	Sliti
5	Al-Rayyan	16	1.78	Guedes
6	Al Shamal	15	1.67	Gomes
7	Al Wakrah	15	1.88	Benyettou
8	Qatar SC	15	1.67	Tabata
9	Umm Salal	15	1.67	Delort
10	Al Arabi	14	1.75	Al Somah
11	Al Mu'aidar	13	1.44	Mbenza
12	Al Markhiya	5	0.56	Njie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Duhail win with a probability of 52.62%. A win for Istiqlol Dushanbe had a probability of 25.51% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Duhail win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.39%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Istiqlol Dushanbe win was 1-2 (6.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Duhail would win this match.

Result
Al-Duhail	Draw	Istiqlol Dushanbe
52.62% ( -0.02)	21.88% ( 0.01)	25.51% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 62.93% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.7% (

-0.03)

36.3% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.57% (

-0.03)

58.43% (

0.03)

Al-Duhail Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.02% (

-0.01)

13.99% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.5% (

-0.03)

41.5% (

0.03)

Istiqlol Dushanbe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.16% (

-0)

26.84% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.86% (

-0.01)

62.15% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Al-Duhail 52.62%

Istiqlol Dushanbe 25.51%

Draw 21.88%

Al-Duhail	Draw	Istiqlol Dushanbe
2-1 @ 9.55% 1-0 @ 7.39% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.26% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.26% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.76% ( -0) 3-2 @ 4.12% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.08% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.34% ( -0) 4-2 @ 2.03% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.21% ( -0) 5-0 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 3.69% Total : 52.62%	1-1 @ 9.71% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.28% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.75% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.81% ( -0) Other @ 0.32% Total : 21.88%	1-2 @ 6.39% ( 0) 0-1 @ 4.94% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.25% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.8% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.75% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.42% ( 0) 1-4 @ 0.92% 2-4 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 2.13% Total : 25.51%