AFC Champions League | Group Stage

Nov 7, 2023 at 2pm UK

Respublikanskiy Stadion im. M.V. Frunze

Istiqlol Dushanbe
1 - 1
Persepolis

Sebai (74')
Dzhalilov (18'), Qurbonov (43'), Davlatmir (65')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Torabi (29')
Gvelesiani (8')

Coverage of the AFC Champions League Group Stage clash between Istiqlol Dushanbe and Persepolis.

Form, Standings, Stats

Istiqlol Dushanbe

Last Game: Persepolis 2-0 Istiqlol Dushanbe
Tuesday, October 24 at 5pm in AFC Champions League

Persepolis

Last Game: Persepolis 2-0 Istiqlol Dushanbe
Tuesday, October 24 at 5pm in AFC Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istiqlol Dushanbe win with a probability of 38.61%. A win for Persepolis had a probability of 34.48% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Istiqlol Dushanbe win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.3%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Persepolis win was 0-1 (9.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.

Result
Istiqlol Dushanbe	Draw	Persepolis
38.61% ( 0.21)	26.9% ( -0.06)	34.48% ( -0.15)

Both teams to score 51.07% (

0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.89% (

0.23)

54.1% (

-0.23)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.47% (

0.2)

75.53% (

-0.19)

Istiqlol Dushanbe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.71% (

0.23)

27.29% (

-0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.27% (

0.3)

62.73% (

-0.3)

Persepolis Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.24% (

0.02)

29.76% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.17% (

0.02)

65.83% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Istiqlol Dushanbe 38.6%

Persepolis 34.48%

Draw 26.9%

Istiqlol Dushanbe	Draw	Persepolis
1-0 @ 10.54% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.3% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 6.85% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.59% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 2.97% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.18% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.17% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 0.96% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.05% Total : 38.6%	1-1 @ 12.78% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.12% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.03% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.9%	0-1 @ 9.84% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 7.75% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.97% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 3.13% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.03% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 2.41% Total : 34.48%