Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Duhail win with a probability of 42.68%. A win for Al-Rayyan had a probability of 35.15% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Duhail win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.54%) and 3-1 (5.22%). The likeliest Al-Rayyan win was 1-2 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Duhail would win this match.