Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Rayyan win with a probability of 44.26%. A win for Umm Salal had a probability of 31.86% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Rayyan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.97%) and 0-2 (6.62%). The likeliest Umm Salal win was 2-1 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Rayyan would win this match.

Result
Umm Salal	Draw	Al-Rayyan
31.86% ( -0.33)	23.87% ( 0.07)	44.26% ( 0.26)

Both teams to score 60.54% (

-0.41)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.5% (

-0.48)

41.5% (

0.47)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.1% (

-0.48)

63.89% (

0.48)

Umm Salal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.74% (

-0.43)

25.25% (

0.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.99% (

-0.6)

60% (

0.59)

Al-Rayyan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.99% (

-0.08)

19% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.44% (

-0.13)

50.56% (

0.13)

Score Analysis

Umm Salal 31.86%

Al-Rayyan 44.26%

Draw 23.86%

Umm Salal	Draw	Al-Rayyan
2-1 @ 7.55% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 6.6% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 4.54% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.46% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.88% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 2.09% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.19% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.57% Total : 31.86%	1-1 @ 10.96% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 6.27% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 4.8% ( 0.1) 3-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.86%	1-2 @ 9.11% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 7.97% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 6.62% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 5.04% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.66% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 3.47% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 2.09% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.52% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.44% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.35% Total : 44.26%