Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Taawoun win with a probability of 44.22%. A win for Al Fateh had a probability of 31.39% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Taawoun win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.64%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Al Fateh win was 1-2 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.