Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Fayha win with a probability of 40.55%. A win for Al Fateh had a probability of 35.08% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Fayha win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.92%) and 0-2 (6.13%). The likeliest Al Fateh win was 2-1 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al Fayha would win this match.