Club Friendlies
Jan 29, 2024 at 6pm UK
Kingdom Arena
Inter Miami

Al-Hilal
4 - 3
Inter Miami

Mitrovic (10'), Alhamddan (13'), Michael (44'), Malcom (88')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Suarez (34'), Messi (54' pen.), Ruiz (55')
McVey (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's friendly clash between Al-Hilal and Inter Miami, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Al Fayha 0-2 Al-Hilal
Friday, December 29 at 3pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Dallas 1-0 Inter Miami
Monday, January 22 at 11pm in Club Friendlies 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 66.31%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Inter Miami had a probability of 15.59%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.89%) and 3-1 (7.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.04%), while for a Inter Miami win it was 1-2 (4.35%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Hilal would win this match.

Result
Al-HilalDrawInter Miami
66.31% (0.509 0.51)18.1% (-0.147 -0.15)15.59% (-0.364 -0.36)
Both teams to score 59.99% (-0.34 -0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.32% (-0.036999999999992 -0.04)32.68% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.64% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)54.36% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Al-Hilal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.81% (0.105 0.11)9.19% (-0.107 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.88% (0.252 0.25)31.12% (-0.254 -0.25)
Inter Miami Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.05% (-0.455 -0.45)33.94% (0.45200000000001 0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.38% (-0.493 -0.49)70.62% (0.491 0.49)
Score Analysis
    Al-Hilal 66.31%
    Inter Miami 15.59%
    Draw 18.1%
Al-HilalDrawInter Miami
2-1 @ 9.6% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.89% (0.102 0.1)
3-1 @ 7.64% (0.031 0.03)
1-0 @ 7.45% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
3-0 @ 7.07% (0.115 0.12)
4-1 @ 4.56% (0.041 0.04)
4-0 @ 4.22% (0.089 0.09)
3-2 @ 4.13% (-0.034 -0.03)
4-2 @ 2.46% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-1 @ 2.18% (0.03 0.03)
5-0 @ 2.02% (0.051 0.05)
5-2 @ 1.18% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 4.92%
Total : 66.31%
1-1 @ 8.04% (-0.045 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.19% (-0.069 -0.07)
0-0 @ 3.12% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.49% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 18.1%
1-2 @ 4.35% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
0-1 @ 3.37% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.87% (-0.048 -0.05)
0-2 @ 1.82% (-0.042 -0.04)
1-3 @ 1.57% (-0.048 -0.05)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 15.59%

How you voted: Al-Hilal vs Inter Miami

Al-Hilal
52.1%
Draw
9.6%
Inter Miami
38.4%
73