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Major League Soccer
Oct 21, 2023 at 11pm UK
Bank of America Stadium
Inter Miami

Charlotte FC
1 - 0
Inter Miami

Vargas (13')
Westwood (4'), Malanda (24'), Vargas (61'), Meram (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Gregore (18'), Miller (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Charlotte FC and Inter Miami, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Inter Miami 2-2 Charlotte FC
Thursday, October 19 at 1am in Major League Soccer

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlotte FC win with a probability of 56.34%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Inter Miami had a probability of 21.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Charlotte FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.17%) and 2-0 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.23%), while for a Inter Miami win it was 1-2 (5.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Charlotte FC would win this match.

Result
Charlotte FCDrawInter Miami
56.34% (-0.419 -0.42)22.01% (0.203 0.2)21.64% (0.207 0.21)
Both teams to score 57.5% (-0.416 -0.42)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.75% (-0.688 -0.69)41.25% (0.679 0.68)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.35% (-0.699 -0.7)63.64% (0.692 0.69)
Charlotte FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.5% (-0.36699999999999 -0.37)14.49% (0.36 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.51% (-0.706 -0.71)42.48% (0.697 0.7)
Inter Miami Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.25% (-0.2 -0.2)32.74% (0.192 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.69% (-0.22 -0.22)69.3% (0.21300000000001 0.21)
Score Analysis
    Charlotte FC 56.34%
    Inter Miami 21.64%
    Draw 22.01%
Charlotte FCDrawInter Miami
2-1 @ 9.88% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
1-0 @ 9.17% (0.164 0.16)
2-0 @ 8.85% (0.045 0.04)
3-1 @ 6.36% (-0.083 -0.08)
3-0 @ 5.7% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.55% (-0.065 -0.07)
4-1 @ 3.07% (-0.081 -0.08)
4-0 @ 2.75% (-0.057 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.72% (-0.054 -0.05)
5-1 @ 1.19% (-0.048 -0.05)
5-0 @ 1.06% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 56.34%
1-1 @ 10.23% (0.13 0.13)
2-2 @ 5.52% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 4.74% (0.145 0.15)
3-3 @ 1.32% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 22.01%
1-2 @ 5.71% (0.043 0.04)
0-1 @ 5.3% (0.135 0.14)
0-2 @ 2.96% (0.06 0.06)
1-3 @ 2.13% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 2.05% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.1% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 21.64%

How you voted: Charlotte FC vs Inter Miami

Charlotte FC
68.0%
Draw
4.0%
Inter Miami
28.0%
25
Head to Head
Oct 19, 2023 1am
Inter Miami
2-2
Charlotte FC
Stefanelli (45+6'), Robinson (84')
Busquets (21'), Gregore (49'), Aviles (76')
Copetti (45'), Vargas (52')
Bronico (69')
Jul 17, 2022 2.22am
Inter Miami
3-2
Charlotte FC
Lowe (12'), Duke (85')
Afful (54'), Ruiz (62'), Jozwiak (66'), Swiderski (71'), Corujo (74')