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Inter Miami
Major League Soccer
Oct 8, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Inter Miami CF Stadium
FC Cincinnati

Inter Miami
0 - 1
Cincinnati

FT(HT: 0-0)
Barreal (78', 78')
Nwobodo (27'), Nwobodo (27'), Celentano (83'), Celentano (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Inter Miami and FC Cincinnati, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cincinnati 1-2 NY Red Bulls
Thursday, October 5 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 43.71%. A win for Inter Miami had a probability of 32.56% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.66%) and 0-2 (6.39%). The likeliest Inter Miami win was 2-1 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Cincinnati would win this match.

Result
Inter MiamiDrawFC Cincinnati
32.56% (-1.189 -1.19)23.72% (-0.207 -0.21)43.71% (1.393 1.39)
Both teams to score 61.39% (0.32100000000001 0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.49% (0.606 0.61)40.51% (-0.608 -0.61)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.11% (0.619 0.62)62.89% (-0.623 -0.62)
Inter Miami Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.64% (-0.399 -0.4)24.36% (0.396 0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.24% (-0.565 -0.57)58.76% (0.562 0.56)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.16% (0.846 0.85)18.83% (-0.85 -0.85)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.72% (1.398 1.4)50.27% (-1.401 -1.4)
Score Analysis
    Inter Miami 32.56%
    FC Cincinnati 43.71%
    Draw 23.72%
Inter MiamiDrawFC Cincinnati
2-1 @ 7.64% (-0.186 -0.19)
1-0 @ 6.48% (-0.26 -0.26)
2-0 @ 4.58% (-0.239 -0.24)
3-1 @ 3.6% (-0.131 -0.13)
3-2 @ 3% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-0 @ 2.15% (-0.139 -0.14)
4-1 @ 1.27% (-0.061 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.06% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 32.56%
1-1 @ 10.81% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-2 @ 6.38% (0.018 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.59% (-0.129 -0.13)
3-3 @ 1.67% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 23.72%
1-2 @ 9.03% (0.128 0.13)
0-1 @ 7.66% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.39% (0.163 0.16)
1-3 @ 5.03% (0.202 0.2)
0-3 @ 3.56% (0.183 0.18)
2-3 @ 3.55% (0.104 0.1)
1-4 @ 2.1% (0.138 0.14)
0-4 @ 1.49% (0.113 0.11)
2-4 @ 1.48% (0.081 0.08)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 43.71%

How you voted: Inter Miami vs Cincinnati

Inter Miami
52.5%
Draw
5.0%
FC Cincinnati
42.5%
40
Head to Head
Aug 24, 2023 12am
Semi-Finals
Cincinnati
3-3
Inter Miami
Inter Miami win 5-4 on penalties
Acosta (18'), Vazquez (53'), Kubo (114')
Nwobodo (31'), Acosta (85'), Barreal (90'), Powell (111'), Arias (117')
Campana (68', 90+7'), Martinez (93')
Alba (24'), Daniel Martino (25'), Mota (41'), Aviles (70'), Krivtsov (80')
Apr 2, 2023 12.30am
Jul 31, 2022 1am
Inter Miami
4-4
Cincinnati
Higuain (23', 37', 45+5' pen.), McVey (90+7')
Vassilev (60')
Brenner (28', 40'), Vazquez (81', 86')
Cameron (21'), Barreal (90+4')
Mar 19, 2022 5pm
Cincinnati
3-1
Inter Miami
Matarrita (18'), Vazquez (24', 82')
Matarrita (33'), Moreno (56'), Kann (90+1')
Higuain (30' pen.)
Mo (47'), Gregore (53'), Lowe (78')
Oct 24, 2021 1am