Major League Soccer

Oct 5, 2023 at 12.30am UK

Nippert Stadium

Cincinnati
1 - 2
NY Red Bulls

Acosta (68' pen., 68' pen.)
Gaddis (27'), Gaddis (27'), Powell (49'), Powell (49'), Hagglund (73'), Hagglund (73'), Pinto (82'), Pinto (82'), Barreal (90+8'), Acosta (90+10'), Barreal (90+8'), Acosta (90+10')

FT(HT: 0-4)

Amaya (12', 12'), Manoel (17', 17')
Lesesne (28'), Lesesne (28'), Reyes (53'), Reyes (53'), Coronel (90+9'), Acosta (90+11'), Coronel (90+9'), Duncan (90+10')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between FC Cincinnati and New York Red Bulls, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Cincinnati

All competitions

Last Game: Toronto 2-3 Cincinnati
Sunday, October 1 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

New York Red Bulls

All competitions

Last Game: NY Red Bulls 0-1 Chicago Fire
Sunday, October 1 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 53.37%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 22.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.82%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.59%), while for a New York Red Bulls win it was 0-1 (6.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
FC Cincinnati	Draw	New York Red Bulls
53.37% ( 0.13)	24.37% ( -0.02)	22.25% ( -0.11)

Both teams to score 50.7% (

-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.31% (

-0.04)

50.69% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.4% (

-0.04)

72.59% (

0.04)

FC Cincinnati Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.07% (

0.04)

18.93% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.56% (

0.05)

50.44% (

-0.05)

New York Red Bulls Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.54% (

-0.13)

37.46% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.75% (

-0.13)

74.25% (

0.14)

Score Analysis

FC Cincinnati 53.37%

New York Red Bulls 22.25%

Draw 24.37%

FC Cincinnati	Draw	New York Red Bulls
1-0 @ 11.8% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 9.82% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.64% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.45% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 5.35% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.63% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.27% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.23% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.09% ( -0) Other @ 3.09% Total : 53.37%	1-1 @ 11.59% 0-0 @ 7.09% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.73% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.95% Total : 24.37%	0-1 @ 6.96% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.69% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 3.42% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.65% Total : 22.25%