Major League Soccer

Oct 1, 2023 at 12.30am UK

Red Bull Arena, Harrison

NY Red Bulls
0 - 1
Chicago Fire

Ndam (49'), Ndam (49'), Tolkin (90+3'), Tolkin (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Koutsias (64', 64')
Doumbia (17'), Doumbia (17'), Koutsias (59'), Koutsias (59'), Brady (82'), Brady (82'), Dean (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between New York Red Bulls and Chicago Fire, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

New York Red Bulls

All competitions

Last Game: DC United 3-5 NY Red Bulls
Sunday, September 24 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Chicago Fire

All competitions

Last Game: Chicago Fire 2-2 New England
Sunday, September 24 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 59.94%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 17.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.33%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.75%), while for a Chicago Fire win it was 0-1 (5.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
New York Red Bulls	Draw	Chicago Fire
59.94% ( -0.29)	22.64% ( 0.1)	17.42% ( 0.19)

Both teams to score 48.34% (

0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.07% (

-0.1)

49.93% (

0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.08% (

-0.09)

71.92% (

0.08)

New York Red Bulls Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.72% (

-0.13)

16.27% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.18% (

-0.24)

45.81% (

0.23)

Chicago Fire Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.73% (

0.17)

42.27% (

-0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.33% (

0.15)

78.66% (

-0.15)

Score Analysis

New York Red Bulls 59.92%

Chicago Fire 17.42%

Draw 22.64%

New York Red Bulls	Draw	Chicago Fire
1-0 @ 12.48% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 11.33% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 9.76% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.86% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 5.91% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 3.12% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 2.68% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.55% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.16% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.13% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.97% Total : 59.92%	1-1 @ 10.75% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.88% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.2% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.81% Total : 22.64%	0-1 @ 5.92% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 4.63% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 2.55% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.78% Total : 17.42%