Major League Soccer
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Xherdan Shaqiri
49'
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Xherdan Shaqiri
49'
-
Jonathan Dean
52'
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Jonathan Dean
52'
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Maren Haile-Selassie
62'
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Maren Haile-Selassie
62'
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Maren Haile-Selassie
65'
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Maren Haile-Selassie
65'
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Xherdan Shaqiri
73'
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Xherdan Shaqiri
73'
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Sergio Busquets
42'
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Sergio Busquets
42'
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Gerardo Daniel Martino
43'
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Gerardo Martino
43'
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Josef Martinez
53'
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Josef Martinez
53'
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Facundo Farias
90'
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Facundo Farias
90'
Chicago Fire vs Inter Miami - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 51.33%. A win for Inter Miami had a probability of 24.85% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest Inter Miami win was 0-1 (6.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chicago Fire would win this match.
Result
Chicago Fire
51.33%
▲
(+0.04)
Draw
23.82%
▲
(+0.01)
Inter Miami
24.85%
▼
(-0.04)
Both Teams to Score:
55.46%
▼
(-0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5
54.15%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 2.5
45.85%
▲
(+0.08)
Over 3.5
31.84%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 3.5
68.16%
▲
(+0.08)
Over 4.5
15.96%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 4.5
84.04%
▲
(+0.05)
Chicago Fire Goals
Over 0.5
82.12%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 0.5
17.88%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 1.5
51.33%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 1.5
48.66%
▲
(+0.03)
Inter Miami Goals
Over 0.5
67.53%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 0.5
32.47%
▲
(+0.08)
Over 1.5
31.01%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 1.5
68.99%
▲
(+0.08)
Score analysis
Chicago Fire
51.33%
Draw
23.81%
Inter Miami
24.86%
Chicago Fire
1-0
@
9.99%
▲
(+0.03)
2-1 @ 9.68% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.6% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 5.55% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.94% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.12% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.39% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 2.12% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.34% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 51.33%
2-1 @ 9.68% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.6% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 5.55% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.94% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.12% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.39% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 2.12% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.34% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 51.33%
Draw
1-1
@
11.24%
▲
(+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.81% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.44% ▼ (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.17% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 23.81%
0-0 @ 5.81% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.44% ▼ (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.17% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 23.81%
Inter Miami
0-1
@
6.53%
▲
(+0.01)
1-2 @ 6.32% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.67% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.37% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.04% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.38% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 24.86%
1-2 @ 6.32% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.67% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.37% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.04% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.38% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 24.86%
Head to Head
Major League Soccer
-
Franco Negri
45'+3'
-
Nicolas Stefanelli
76'
-
Chris Mueller
30'
-
Carlos Teran
38'
-
Kei Kamara
90'+2'
Major League Soccer
-
Jhon Duran
40'
-
Xherdan Shaqiri
64'
-
Jhon Duran
87'
-
Gonzalo Higuain
77'
Major League Soccer
Gameweek
1
-
DeAndre Yedlin
53'
-
Damion Lowe
74'
-
Jairo Quinteros
77'
-
Jhon Duran
87'
Major League Soccer
Gameweek
27
-
Indiana Vassilev
34'
-
Leandro Gonzalez Pirez
50'
-
Robbie Robinson
62'
-
Robbie Robinson
74'
-
Julian Carranza
84'
-
Rodolfo Pizarro
90'+3'
-
Francisco Calvo
40'
-
Luka Stojanovic
48'
-
Fabian Herbers
60'
Major League Soccer
Gameweek
8
-
Alvaro Medran
9'
-
Luka Stojanovic
70'
-
Chinonso Offor
90'
-
Boris Sekulic
90'+1'
-
Leandro Gonzalez Pirez
23'
-
Victor Ulloa
31'
-
Robbie Robinson
61'
-
Ryan Shawcross
68'
-
Blaise Matuidi
68'
-
Jorge Figal
87'
Major League Soccer