Major League Soccer

Oct 5, 2023 at 1.30am UK

Soldier Field

Chicago Fire
4 - 1
Inter Miami

Shaqiri (49', 49', 73', 73'), Haile-Selassie (62', 62', 65', 65')
Dean (52'), Dean (52')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Martinez (53' pen., 53' pen.)
Busquets (42'), Busquets (42'), Daniel Martino (43'), Martino (43'), Farias (90'), Farias (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Major League Soccer clash between Chicago Fire and Inter Miami, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chicago Fire

All competitions

Last Game: NY Red Bulls 0-1 Chicago Fire
Sunday, October 1 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Inter Miami

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Inter Miami 1-1 NY City
Sunday, October 1 at 1.32am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 51.33%. A win for Inter Miami had a probability of 24.85% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest Inter Miami win was 0-1 (6.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chicago Fire would win this match.

Result
Chicago Fire	Draw	Inter Miami
51.33% ( 0.03)	23.82% ( 0.01)	24.85% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 55.46% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.15% (

-0.07)

45.85% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.84% (

-0.07)

68.16% (

0.07)

Chicago Fire Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.12% (

-0.02)

17.88% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.33% (

-0.03)

48.66% (

0.03)

Inter Miami Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.53% (

-0.07)

32.47% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.01% (

-0.08)

68.99% (

0.08)

Score Analysis

Chicago Fire 51.33%

Inter Miami 24.86%

Draw 23.81%

Chicago Fire	Draw	Inter Miami
1-0 @ 9.99% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.68% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.6% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.55% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.94% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.12% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.39% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.12% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.34% ( -0) Other @ 3.59% Total : 51.33%	1-1 @ 11.24% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.81% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.44% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.17% ( -0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.81%	0-1 @ 6.53% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.32% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.67% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.38% ( -0) Other @ 2.54% Total : 24.86%