Major League Soccer
Charlotte FC
Oct 5, 2023 12.30am
3
0
HT : 4 0
FT Bank of America Stadium
Toronto
  • Karol Swiderski 8' goal
  • Karol Swiderski 8' goal
  • Karol Swiderski 45'+2' goal
  • Karol Swiderski 45'+2' goal
  • Brecht Dejaegere 56' goal
  • Brecht Dejaegere 56' goal
  • yellowcard Michael Bradley 26'
  • yellowcard Michael Bradley 26'
  • yellowcard Hugo Mbongue 45'+6'
  • yellowcard Hugo Mbongue 45'+6'

Charlotte FC vs Toronto - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Charlotte FC

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Oct 1, 2023 12.30am
New England 2 - 1 Charlotte FC
Goals scored
47
Top scorer
Karol Swiderski

Toronto

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Oct 1, 2023 12.30am
Toronto 2 - 3 Cincinnati
Goals scored
26
Top scorer
Deandre Kerr

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlotte FC win with a probability of 65.03%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 15.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Charlotte FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.69%) and 1-0 (8.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.78%), while for a Toronto win it was 1-2 (4.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Charlotte FC would win this match.

Result

Charlotte FC 65.03% ▼ (-0.56)
Draw 19.08% ▲ (+0.06)
Toronto 15.89% ▲ (+0.51)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.95% ▲ (+1.06)

Goals

Over 2.5 63.11% ▲ (+0.79)
Under 2.5 36.89% ▼ (-0.78)
Over 3.5 40.93% ▲ (+0.85)
Under 3.5 59.07% ▼ (-0.85)
Over 4.5 22.89% ▲ (+0.69)
Under 4.5 77.11% ▼ (-0.69)

Charlotte FC Goals

Over 0.5 89.34% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 0.5 10.66% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 1.5 65.48% ▲ (+0.19)
Under 1.5 34.52% ▼ (-0.18)

Toronto Goals

Over 0.5 63.74% ▲ (+1.13)
Under 0.5 36.26% ▼ (-1.12)
Over 1.5 26.96% ▲ (+1.13)
Under 1.5 73.04% ▼ (-1.12)

Score analysis

Charlotte FC 65.03%
Draw 19.08%
Toronto 15.89%
Charlotte FC
2-1 @ 9.83% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 9.69% ▼ (-0.31)
1-0 @ 8.65% ▼ (-0.31)
3-1 @ 7.33% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 7.23% ▼ (-0.21)
4-1 @ 4.1% ▲ (+0.03)
4-0 @ 4.05% ▼ (-0.11)
3-2 @ 3.72% ▲ (+0.13)
4-2 @ 2.08% ▲ (+0.08)
5-1 @ 1.84% ▲ (+0.02)
5-0 @ 1.81% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 4.71%
Total : 65.03%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.78% ▼ (-0.04)
2-2 @ 4.98% ▲ (+0.15)
0-0 @ 3.87% ▼ (-0.15)
3-3 @ 1.26% ▲ (+0.08)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 19.08%
Toronto
1-2 @ 4.45% ▲ (+0.12)
0-1 @ 3.92% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 1.99% ▲ (+0.05)
2-3 @ 1.69% ▲ (+0.10)
1-3 @ 1.51% ▲ (+0.09)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 15.89%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Toronto
Apr 2, 2023 12.30am
2
2
HT : 2 0
FT BMO Field
Charlotte FC
  • Federico Bernardeschi 6' goal
  • Michael Bradley 44' goal
  • goal Ben Bender 50'
  • goal Ben Bender 51'
  • goal Kamil Jozwiak 70'
Major League Soccer
Charlotte FC
Aug 28, 2022 1.10am
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Toronto
  • Christian Fuchs 10' yellowcard
  • Kamil Jozwiak 83' yellowcard
  • goal Lorenzo Insigne 49'
  • goal Federico Bernardeschi 66'
Major League Soccer
Toronto
Jul 24, 2022 12.30am
4
0
HT : 4 0
FT
Charlotte FC
  • Jonathan Osorio 4' goal
  • Michael Bradley 10' goal
  • Federico Bernardeschi 31' goal
  • Michael Bradley 45'+2' goal
  • Mark-Anthony Kaye 67' yellowcard
  • redcard Christian Fuchs 65'

Form Data

New England 2 - 1 Charlotte FC
Cincinnati 3 - 0 Charlotte FC
Charlotte FC 2 - 2 Philadelphia
Charlotte FC 0 - 0 DC United
Nashville 1 - 1 Charlotte FC
Charlotte FC 1 - 1 Orlando City
Toronto 2 - 3 Cincinnati
NY City 3 - 0 Toronto
Inter Miami 4 - 0 Toronto
Toronto 1 - 2 Vancouver
Toronto 3 - 1 Philadelphia
Columbus Crew 2 - 0 Toronto