Major League Soccer

Oct 5, 2023 at 12.30am UK

Bank of America Stadium

Charlotte FC
3 - 0
Toronto

Swiderski (8' pen., 8' pen., 45+2' pen., 45+2' pen.), Dejaegere (56', 56')

FT(HT: 4-0)

Bradley (26'), Bradley (26'), Mbongue (45+6'), Mbongue (45+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between Charlotte FC and Toronto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Charlotte FC

All competitions

Last Game: New England 2-1 Charlotte FC
Sunday, October 1 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Toronto

All competitions

Last Game: Toronto 2-3 Cincinnati
Sunday, October 1 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlotte FC win with a probability of 65.03%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 15.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Charlotte FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.69%) and 1-0 (8.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.78%), while for a Toronto win it was 1-2 (4.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Charlotte FC would win this match.

Result
Charlotte FC	Draw	Toronto
65.03% ( -0.55)	19.08% ( 0.06)	15.89% ( 0.5)

Both teams to score 56.95% (

1.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.11% (

0.79)

36.89% (

-0.78)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.93% (

0.85)

59.07% (

-0.84)

Charlotte FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.34% (

0.09)

10.66% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.48% (

0.19)

34.52% (

-0.18)

Toronto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.74% (

1.13)

36.26% (

-1.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.96% (

1.13)

73.04% (

-1.12)

Score Analysis

Charlotte FC 65.03%

Toronto 15.89%

Draw 19.08%

Charlotte FC	Draw	Toronto
2-1 @ 9.83% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.69% ( -0.31) 1-0 @ 8.65% ( -0.3) 3-1 @ 7.33% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 7.23% ( -0.2) 4-1 @ 4.1% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 4.05% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 3.72% ( 0.12) 4-2 @ 2.08% ( 0.07) 5-1 @ 1.84% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 1.81% ( -0.04) 5-2 @ 0.93% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.78% Total : 65.03%	1-1 @ 8.78% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 4.98% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 3.87% ( -0.15) 3-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.2% Total : 19.08%	1-2 @ 4.45% ( 0.12) 0-1 @ 3.92% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 1.99% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.33% Total : 15.89%