Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 53.48%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Santa Clara had a probability of 21.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.29%) and 1-2 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.8%), while for a Santa Clara win it was 1-0 (7.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Santa Clara | Draw | Porto |
| 21.59% ( | 24.93% ( | 53.48% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.21% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.44% ( | 53.56% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.93% ( | 75.07% ( |
| Santa Clara Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.26% ( | 39.74% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.59% ( | 76.41% ( |
| Porto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80% ( | 20% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.81% ( | 52.19% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Santa Clara | Draw | Porto |
| 1-0 @ 7.34% ( 2-1 @ 5.45% ( 2-0 @ 3.39% ( 3-1 @ 1.68% ( 3-2 @ 1.35% 3-0 @ 1.04% Other @ 1.36% Total : 21.59% | 1-1 @ 11.8% 0-0 @ 7.95% ( 2-2 @ 4.38% Other @ 0.79% Total : 24.93% | 0-1 @ 12.79% 0-2 @ 10.29% 1-2 @ 9.5% 0-3 @ 5.52% ( 1-3 @ 5.1% ( 2-3 @ 2.35% 0-4 @ 2.22% ( 1-4 @ 2.05% ( 2-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.71% Total : 53.47% |