Primeira Liga | Gameweek 6

Sep 22, 2024 at 8.30pm UK

Estadio Jose Alvalade

Sporting Lisbon
3 - 0
AVS

Harder (15'), Gyokeres (45+4', 71')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Roux (39'), Castro (51'), Assuncao (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Sporting Lisbon and AVS, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 2-0 Lille
Tuesday, September 17 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

AVS

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: AVS 1-0 Rio Ave
Saturday, September 14 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 82.27%. A draw had a probability of 11.4% and a win for AVS had a probability of 6.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.49%) and 3-1 (7.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.26%), while for an AVS win it was 1-2 (1.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Sporting Lisbon.

Result
Sporting Lisbon	Draw	AVS
82.27% ( -0.12)	11.43% ( 0.17)	6.3% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 50.35% (

-1.3)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

72.55% (

-1.27)

27.45% (

1.27)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

51.95% (

-1.62)

48.05% (

1.62)

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

95.08% (

-0.25)

4.92% (

0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

80.26% (

-0.77)

19.74% (

0.77)

AVS Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.96% (

-1.22)

47.04% (

1.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.48% (

-0.94)

82.52% (

0.94)

Score Analysis

Sporting Lisbon 82.25%

AVS 6.3%

Draw 11.43%

Sporting Lisbon	Draw	AVS
3-0 @ 10.53% ( 0.28) 2-0 @ 10.49% ( 0.45) 3-1 @ 7.95% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 7.93% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 7.92% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 6.97% ( 0.42) 4-1 @ 5.98% ( -0.15) 5-0 @ 4.78% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 3.6% ( -0.16) 3-2 @ 3% ( -0.13) 6-0 @ 2.4% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 2.26% ( -0.14) 6-1 @ 1.81% ( -0.11) 5-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.11) 7-0 @ 1.03% ( -0.04) Other @ 4.24% Total : 82.25%	1-1 @ 5.26% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 2.99% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 2.32% ( 0.18) Other @ 0.87% Total : 11.43%	1-2 @ 1.98% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 1.75% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.57% Total : 6.3%