Arouca
Benfica
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Tondela
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Santa Clara
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 4
Aug 31, 2024 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio de Sao Miguel

Santa Clara
2 - 1
AVS

Silva (24'), Safira (57')
Miguel Lopes Matos (0'), Soares (72')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Grau (34')
Alaba (57'), Mena Palacios (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Santa Clara and AVS, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Santa Clara

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Casa Pia 0-2 Santa Clara
Saturday, August 24 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

AVS

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: AVS 1-0 Guimaraes
Sunday, August 25 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 44.26%. A win for AVS had a probability of 29.36% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest AVS win was 0-1 (8.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Santa Clara would win this match.

Result
Santa ClaraDrawAVS
44.26% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)26.37% (0.0010000000000012 0)29.36% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 50.94% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.54% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)53.46% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.02% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)74.98% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Santa Clara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.97% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)24.03% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.71% (-0.012 -0.01)58.29% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
AVS Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.05% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)32.95%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.46% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)69.53% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Santa Clara 44.26%
    AVS 29.36%
    Draw 26.37%
Santa ClaraDrawAVS
1-0 @ 11.29% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.94% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 8.05% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 4.25% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 3.83% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.36% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.51% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.36% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 44.26%
1-1 @ 12.53%
0-0 @ 7.92% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-2 @ 4.96% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 26.37%
0-1 @ 8.79% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 6.96% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 4.88% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 2.57%
2-3 @ 1.84% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.81%
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 29.36%

How you voted: Santa Clara vs AVS

Santa Clara
92.3%
Draw
0.0%
AVS
7.7%
13