Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Gijon win with a probability of 38.44%. A win for AVS had a probability of 33.72% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Gijon win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.08%) and 0-2 (7.11%). The likeliest AVS win was 1-0 (10.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.