Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Gijon win with a probability of 42.04%. A win for Eldense had a probability of 29.71% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Gijon win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.3%) and 0-2 (8.19%). The likeliest Eldense win was 1-0 (10.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Sporting Gijon in this match.

Result
Eldense	Draw	Sporting Gijon
29.71% ( -1.2)	28.25% ( -0.2)	42.04% ( 1.41)

Both teams to score 45.7% (

0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.78% (

0.34)

60.22% (

-0.34)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.6% (

0.26)

80.4% (

-0.26)

Eldense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.72% (

-0.73)

36.29% (

0.73)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.93% (

-0.75)

73.07% (

0.75)

Sporting Gijon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.72% (

0.95)

28.28% (

-0.95)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36% (

1.19)

64% (

-1.19)

Score Analysis

Eldense 29.7%

Sporting Gijon 42.04%

Draw 28.24%

Eldense	Draw	Sporting Gijon
1-0 @ 10.4% ( -0.34) 2-1 @ 6.66% ( -0.18) 2-0 @ 5.27% ( -0.28) 3-1 @ 2.25% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 1.78% ( -0.13) 3-2 @ 1.42% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.92% Total : 29.7%	1-1 @ 13.13% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 10.26% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 4.21% ( 0) Other @ 0.65% Total : 28.24%	0-1 @ 12.96% ( 0.18) 1-2 @ 8.3% ( 0.17) 0-2 @ 8.19% ( 0.32) 1-3 @ 3.49% ( 0.16) 0-3 @ 3.45% ( 0.22) 2-3 @ 1.77% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 1.1% ( 0.08) 0-4 @ 1.09% ( 0.1) Other @ 1.7% Total : 42.04%