Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 47.9%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Sporting Gijon had a probability of 24.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.68%) and 2-1 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.71%), while for a Sporting Gijon win it was 0-1 (9.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Espanyol	Draw	Sporting Gijon
47.9% ( 0.45)	27.45% ( 0.13)	24.65% ( -0.58)

Both teams to score 44.59% (

-0.83)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.02% (

-0.81)

59.98% (

0.81)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.78% (

-0.62)

80.22% (

0.62)

Espanyol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.84% (

-0.15)

25.16% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.12% (

-0.2)

59.87% (

0.2)

Sporting Gijon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.57% (

-0.99)

40.42% (

0.99)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.96% (

-0.91)

77.03% (

0.91)

Score Analysis

Espanyol 47.9%

Sporting Gijon 24.65%

Draw 27.44%

Espanyol	Draw	Sporting Gijon
1-0 @ 14.03% ( 0.37) 2-0 @ 9.68% ( 0.21) 2-1 @ 8.77% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 4.46% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 4.04% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.83% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 1.54% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.39% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.16% Total : 47.9%	1-1 @ 12.71% 0-0 @ 10.16% ( 0.3) 2-2 @ 3.97% ( -0.13) Other @ 0.6% Total : 27.44%	0-1 @ 9.21% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 5.76% ( -0.16) 0-2 @ 4.17% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.07) Other @ 1.31% Total : 24.65%