Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 57.87%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Cartagena had a probability of 16.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.64%) and 2-1 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.42%), while for a Cartagena win it was 0-1 (7.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Espanyol would win this match.

Result
Espanyol	Draw	Cartagena
57.87% ( -0.27)	25.37% ( 0.13)	16.76% ( 0.13)

Both teams to score 39.9% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.4% (

-0.23)

60.59% (

0.23)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.31% (

-0.18)

80.69% (

0.17)

Espanyol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.95% (

-0.2)

21.04% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.16% (

-0.31)

53.84% (

0.31)

Cartagena Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.54% (

0.04)

49.46% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.72% (

0.03)

84.28% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Espanyol 57.87%

Cartagena 16.76%

Draw 25.36%

Espanyol	Draw	Cartagena
1-0 @ 16.22% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 12.64% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 8.9% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 6.57% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 4.62% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 2.56% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.8% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.93% Total : 57.87%	1-1 @ 11.42% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 10.4% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 3.13% ( -0) Other @ 0.41% Total : 25.36%	0-1 @ 7.33% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 4.02% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 2.58% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.89% Total : 16.76%