Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elche win with a probability of 46.54%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Espanyol had a probability of 24.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elche win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.66%) and 2-1 (8.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.91%), while for a Espanyol win it was 0-1 (9.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.