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Segunda Division | Gameweek 40
May 19, 2024 at 1pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Ipurua

Eibar
1 - 0
Cartagena

Stoichkov (10')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Alarcon (3'), Alcala (17'), Ortuno (31'), Musto (38')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Eibar and Cartagena.

Form, Standings, Stats

Eibar

All competitions
Last Game: Levante 2-2 Eibar
Saturday, May 11 at 8pm in Segunda Division

Cartagena

All competitions
Last Game: Cartagena 2-0 Tenerife
Sunday, May 12 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eibar win with a probability of 64.42%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Cartagena had a probability of 13.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.88%) and 2-1 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.22%), while for a Cartagena win it was 0-1 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Eibar in this match.

Result
EibarDrawCartagena
64.42% (0.41500000000001 0.42)22.4% (-0.108 -0.11)13.17% (-0.311 -0.31)
Both teams to score 39.88% (-0.465 -0.46)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.83% (-0.186 -0.19)56.17% (0.183 0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.77% (-0.15 -0.15)77.22% (0.14700000000001 0.15)
Eibar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.08% (0.078000000000003 0.08)16.92% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.02% (0.137 0.14)46.98% (-0.14100000000001 -0.14)
Cartagena Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48% (-0.609 -0.61)51.99% (0.605 0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14% (-0.401 -0.4)86% (0.39800000000001 0.4)
Score Analysis
    Eibar 64.41%
    Cartagena 13.18%
    Draw 22.4%
EibarDrawCartagena
1-0 @ 15.62% (0.15 0.15)
2-0 @ 13.88% (0.17 0.17)
2-1 @ 9.08% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
3-0 @ 8.22% (0.121 0.12)
3-1 @ 5.38% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
4-0 @ 3.65% (0.063 0.06)
4-1 @ 2.39% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 1.76% (-0.037 -0.04)
5-0 @ 1.3% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 64.41%
1-1 @ 10.22% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-0 @ 8.8% (0.061999999999999 0.06)
2-2 @ 2.97% (-0.07 -0.07)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 22.4%
0-1 @ 5.75% (-0.062 -0.06)
1-2 @ 3.34% (-0.087 -0.09)
0-2 @ 1.88% (-0.055 -0.05)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 13.18%

Head to Head
Sep 22, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 7
Cartagena
1-2
Eibar
Carlos (47')
Munoz (58'), Embalo (86')
Izquierdo (57')
Aketxe (24'), Stoichkov (65')
Stoichkov (27'), Alvarez (56'), Soriano (71'), Corpas (73'), Vencedor (89')
Feb 12, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 27
Eibar
0-3
Cartagena
Izquierdo (2'), Valle (5'), De Blasis (69')
Nov 27, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 17
Cartagena
2-1
Eibar
Sadiku (68' pen.), Ortuno (90+5')
Rahmani (10')
Mar 6, 2022 5.15pm
Gameweek 30
Cartagena
4-1
Eibar
Bodiger (45', 90+6'), Dauda (52'), Ortuno (89')
Carrion (28'), Martinez (80'), Bodiger (90+4')
Stoichkov (19')
Arbilla (35'), Tono (44'), Atienza (54'), Sol (58'), Munoz (77'), Stoichkov (80')
Stoichkov (90+4'), Garitano (90+6')
Oct 22, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 12
Eibar
2-1
Cartagena
Munoz (6'), Blanco (9')
Blanco (90+1')
Tono (43')
De Blasis (60')
Luna (30'), Delmas (44'), Silva (72')