Primeira Liga | Gameweek 3

Aug 24, 2024 at 3.30pm UK

Campo do Cevadeiro

Casa Pia
0 - 2
Santa Clara

Fonte (73'), Svensson Rio (77'), Batista (78'), Larrazabal (84')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Lopes (57'), Antonio (90+5')
Rocha (28'), Safira (61'), Ferreira (78'), Larrazabal (79'), Miguel Lopes Matos (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Casa Pia and Santa Clara, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Casa Pia

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Benfica 3-0 Casa Pia
Saturday, August 17 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Santa Clara

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Santa Clara 0-2 Porto
Friday, August 16 at 5pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 48.3%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 24.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.79%) and 1-2 (8.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.67%), while for a Casa Pia win it was 1-0 (9.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Santa Clara would win this match.

Result
Casa Pia	Draw	Santa Clara
24.31% ( 0.11)	27.39% ( 0.11)	48.3% ( -0.22)

Both teams to score 44.45% (

-0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40% (

-0.27)

60% (

0.27)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.76% (

-0.21)

80.23% (

0.21)

Casa Pia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.25% (

-0.05)

40.75% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.67% (

-0.05)

77.33% (

0.04)

Santa Clara Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.03% (

-0.22)

24.97% (

0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.38% (

-0.31)

59.61% (

0.31)

Score Analysis

Casa Pia 24.31%

Santa Clara 48.3%

Draw 27.38%

Casa Pia	Draw	Santa Clara
1-0 @ 9.13% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 5.69% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 4.1% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 1.7% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.23% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.18% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.27% Total : 24.31%	1-1 @ 12.67% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 10.17% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 3.95% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.59% Total : 27.38%	0-1 @ 14.11% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 9.79% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 8.79% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 4.53% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 4.07% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.57% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.41% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.2% Total : 48.3%