Champions League
Sep 17, 2024 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Jose Alvalade
  • Viktor Gyokeres 38' goal
  • Hidemasa Morita 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Zeno Debast 65' goal
  • Zeno Debast 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Angel Gomes 21'
  • redcard Angel Gomes 40'
  • yellowcard Jonathan David 40'
  • yellowcard Benjamin Andre 56'
  • yellowcard Ayyoub Bouaddi 72'

Sporting Lisbon vs Lille - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions

Lille

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 53.49%. A win for Lille had a probability of 23.87% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.97%) and 2-0 (8.34%). The likeliest Lille win was 1-2 (6.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.

Result

Sporting Lisbon 53.49% (+0.16)
Draw 22.65% (-0.44)
Lille 23.87% (+0.29)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.29% (+1.85)

Goals

Over 2.5 58.42% (+2.29)
Under 2.5 41.58% (-2.29)
Over 3.5 36.02% (+2.28)
Under 3.5 63.98% (-2.28)
Over 4.5 19.03% (+1.70)
Under 4.5 80.97% (-1.70)

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5 84.45% (+0.88)
Under 0.5 15.55% (-0.88)
Over 1.5 55.51% (+1.60)
Under 1.5 44.49% (-1.60)

Lille Goals

Over 0.5 69.02% (+1.50)
Under 0.5 30.98% (-1.49)
Over 1.5 32.72% (+1.71)
Under 1.5 67.28% (-1.71)

Score analysis

Sporting Lisbon 53.49%
Draw 22.64%
Lille 23.87%
Sporting Lisbon
2-1 @ 9.78% (-0.02)
1-0 @ 8.97% (-0.67)
2-0 @ 8.34% (-0.36)
3-1 @ 6.07% (+0.18)
3-0 @ 5.18% (-0.07)
3-2 @ 3.55% (+0.24)
4-1 @ 2.82% (+0.17)
4-0 @ 2.41% (+0.05)
4-2 @ 1.65% (+0.16)
5-1 @ 1.05% (-95.15)
Other @ 3.67%
Total : 53.49%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.5% (-0.34)
2-2 @ 5.73% (+0.23)
0-0 @ 4.82% (-0.52)
3-3 @ 1.39% (+0.15)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 22.64%
Lille
1-2 @ 6.16% (+0.07)
0-1 @ 5.65% (-0.36)
0-2 @ 3.31% (-0.07)
1-3 @ 2.41% (+0.12)
2-3 @ 2.24% (+0.18)
0-3 @ 1.29% (+0.03)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 23.87%