Champions League

Champions League | Playoffs | 1st Leg

Aug 20, 2024 at 8pm UK

Stade du Hainaut

Lille
2 - 0
Slavia Prague

(Lille win 3-2 on aggregate)

David (52'), Zhegrova (77')
Meunier (18'), Diakite (89'), Ilic (90+5')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Masopust (35'), Dorley (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League playoff between Lille and Slavia Prague, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lille

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Reims 0-2 Lille
Saturday, August 17 at 6pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Slavia Prague

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Slavia Prague 2-1 Teplice
Saturday, August 17 at 4pm in Czech Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 59.67%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Slavia Prague had a probability of 19.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.18%) and 1-0 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.69%), while for a Slavia Prague win it was 1-2 (5.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.

Result
Lille	Draw	Slavia Prague
59.67%	20.95%	19.38%

Both teams to score 57.55%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.51%

39.49%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.17%

61.83%

Lille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.1%

12.9%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.69%

39.31%

Slavia Prague Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.08%

33.92%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.4%

70.6%

Score Analysis

Lille 59.67%

Slavia Prague 19.38%

Draw 20.95%

Lille	Draw	Slavia Prague
2-1 @ 9.92% 2-0 @ 9.18% 1-0 @ 8.96% 3-1 @ 6.77% 3-0 @ 6.27% 3-2 @ 3.66% 4-1 @ 3.47% 4-0 @ 3.21% 4-2 @ 1.88% 5-1 @ 1.42% 5-0 @ 1.31% Other @ 3.63% Total : 59.67%	1-1 @ 9.69% 2-2 @ 5.36% 0-0 @ 4.38% 3-3 @ 1.32% Other @ 0.2% Total : 20.95%	1-2 @ 5.24% 0-1 @ 4.73% 0-2 @ 2.56% 2-3 @ 1.93% 1-3 @ 1.89% 0-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.12% Total : 19.38%