Champions League

Champions League | Third Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg

Aug 13, 2024 at 6pm UK

Ulker Stadyumu Fenerbahce Sukru Saracoglu Spor Kompleksi

Fenerbahce
1 - 1
Lille

(Lille win 3-2 on aggregate)

Diakite (90+1' og.)
Muldur (8'), Djiku (65'), Soyuncu (68'), Oosterwolde (80')

FT
(aet)

David (118' pen.)
Alexsandro (35'), Gomes (55'), Zhegrova (80'), Arnar Haraldsson (86')
Mandi (109')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Fenerbahce and Lille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fenerbahce

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Fenerbahce 1-0 Adana Demirspor
Saturday, August 10 at 7.45pm in Turkish Super Lig

Goals
for

Top scorers

Lille

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Lille 2-1 Fenerbahce
Tuesday, August 6 at 7.30pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 51.53%. A win for Lille had a probability of 25.57% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.62%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Lille win was 1-2 (6.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Fenerbahce	Draw	Lille
51.53% ( 0.14)	22.9% ( 0.01)	25.57% ( -0.15)

Both teams to score 59.31% (

-0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.91% (

-0.17)

41.09% (

0.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.51% (

-0.17)

63.49% (

0.17)

Fenerbahce Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.95% (

-0.01)

16.05% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.58% (

-0.02)

45.42% (

0.02)

Lille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.65% (

-0.2)

29.35% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.67% (

-0.25)

65.33% (

0.25)

Score Analysis

Fenerbahce 51.53%

Lille 25.57%

Draw 22.9%

Fenerbahce	Draw	Lille
2-1 @ 9.66% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.62% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 7.88% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 5.89% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.81% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.61% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.7% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.2% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.65% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 0.99% Other @ 3.52% Total : 51.53%	1-1 @ 10.56% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.92% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 4.71% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.23% Total : 22.9%	1-2 @ 6.48% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 5.78% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.54% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.65% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.27% Total : 25.57%