Champions League
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F46%2Fluglog.png)
-
Ayman El Wafi
4'
-
Ayman El Wafi
29'
-
Antonios Papadopoulos
59'
-
Uran Bislimi
64'
-
Mattia Bottani
69'
-
Anto Grgic
71'
-
Mattia Zanotti
77'
-
Milton Valenzuela
90'+4'
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Caglar Soyuncu
18'
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Edin Dzeko
45'+1'
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Edin Dzeko
46'
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Dusan Tadic
45'+3'
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Edin Dzeko
67'
-
Jayden Oosterwolde
70'
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Ferdi Kadioglu
74'
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Cenk Tosun
90'+5'
Lugano vs Fenerbahce - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F36%2Fjose-mourinho.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 58.16%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Lugano had a probability of 20.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.46%) and 0-1 (8.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.52%), while for a Lugano win it was 2-1 (5.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.
Result
Lugano
20.86%
▼
(-5.14)
Draw
20.98%
▼
(-2.94)
Fenerbahce
58.16%
▲
(+8.07)
Both Teams to Score:
59.99%
▲
(+3.71)
Goals
Over 2.5
62.56%
▲
(+7.85)
Under 2.5
37.44%
▼
(-7.85)
Over 3.5
40.34%
▲
(+7.97)
Under 3.5
59.66%
▼
(-7.96)
Over 4.5
22.41%
▲
(+6.07)
Under 4.5
77.59%
▼
(-6.07)
Lugano Goals
Over 0.5
68.7%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 0.5
31.3%
▲
(+0.06)
Over 1.5
32.35%
▼
(-0.07)
Under 1.5
67.65%
▲
(+0.07)
Fenerbahce Goals
Over 0.5
87.32%
▲
(+5.46)
Under 0.5
12.69%
▼
(-5.46)
Over 1.5
61.12%
▲
(+10.24)
Under 1.5
38.88%
▼
(-10.23)
Score analysis
Lugano
20.86%
Draw
20.98%
Fenerbahce
58.16%
Lugano
2-1
@
5.53%
▼
(-1.02)
1-0 @ 4.61% ▼ (-1.99)
2-0 @ 2.68% ▼ (-1.16)
3-2 @ 2.21% ▲ (+0.05)
3-1 @ 2.14% ▼ (-0.40)
3-0 @ 1.04% ▼ (-0.46)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 20.86%
1-0 @ 4.61% ▼ (-1.99)
2-0 @ 2.68% ▼ (-1.16)
3-2 @ 2.21% ▲ (+0.05)
3-1 @ 2.14% ▼ (-0.40)
3-0 @ 1.04% ▼ (-0.46)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 20.86%
Draw
1-1
@
9.52%
▼
(-1.73)
2-2 @ 5.71% ▲ (+0.13)
0-0 @ 3.97% ▼ (-1.70)
3-3 @ 1.52% ▲ (+0.29)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 20.98%
2-2 @ 5.71% ▲ (+0.13)
0-0 @ 3.97% ▼ (-1.70)
3-3 @ 1.52% ▲ (+0.29)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 20.98%
Fenerbahce
1-2
@
9.83%
▲
(+0.23)
0-2 @ 8.46% ▲ (+0.21)
0-1 @ 8.2% ▼ (-1.48)
1-3 @ 6.77% ▲ (+1.30)
0-3 @ 5.82% ▲ (+1.13)
2-3 @ 3.93% ▲ (+0.75)
1-4 @ 3.49% ▲ (+1.16)
0-4 @ 3.01% ▲ (+1.01)
2-4 @ 2.03% ▲ (+0.68)
1-5 @ 1.44% ▼ (-78.16)
0-5 @ 1.24% ▼ (-67.26)
Other @ 3.94%
Total : 58.16%
0-2 @ 8.46% ▲ (+0.21)
0-1 @ 8.2% ▼ (-1.48)
1-3 @ 6.77% ▲ (+1.30)
0-3 @ 5.82% ▲ (+1.13)
2-3 @ 3.93% ▲ (+0.75)
1-4 @ 3.49% ▲ (+1.16)
0-4 @ 3.01% ▲ (+1.01)
2-4 @ 2.03% ▲ (+0.68)
1-5 @ 1.44% ▼ (-78.16)
0-5 @ 1.24% ▼ (-67.26)
Other @ 3.94%
Total : 58.16%