Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 38
May 26, 2024 at 5pm UK
Ulker Stadyumu Fenerbahce Sukru Saracoglu Spor Kompleksi

Fenerbahce
6 - 0
Istanbulspor

Dzeko (8' pen.), Szymanski (15'), Tadic (35'), Osayi-Samuel (66'), Dursun (76'), King (78')
Fred (57'), Bonucci (90+3')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Zeki Korkmaz (0'), Erdogan (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Fenerbahce and Istanbulspor, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Istanbulspor 1-3 Sivasspor
Friday, May 17 at 3pm in Turkish Super Lig

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 90.97%. A draw had a probability of 6.4% and a win for Istanbulspor had a probability of 2.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (10.58%) and 2-0 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.94%), while for a Istanbulspor win it was 1-2 (0.89%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.

Result
FenerbahceDrawIstanbulspor
90.97% (-0.10899999999999 -0.11)6.38% (0.06 0.06)2.65% (0.045 0.04)
Both teams to score 44.27% (0.288 0.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
80.79% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)19.21% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
63.04% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)36.96% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Fenerbahce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
97.62% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)2.38% (0.013 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
88.72% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)11.28% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
Istanbulspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
45.35% (0.299 0.3)54.65% (-0.302 -0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.33% (0.178 0.18)87.67% (-0.181 -0.18)
Score Analysis
    Fenerbahce 90.97%
    Istanbulspor 2.65%
    Draw 6.38%
FenerbahceDrawIstanbulspor
3-0 @ 11.32% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
4-0 @ 10.58% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-0 @ 9.09% (-0.026 -0.03)
5-0 @ 7.91% (-0.059 -0.06)
3-1 @ 6.84% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
4-1 @ 6.39% (0.021 0.02)
2-1 @ 5.49% (0.034 0.03)
6-0 @ 4.93% (-0.045 -0.04)
1-0 @ 4.86% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
5-1 @ 4.78% (0.008 0.01)
6-1 @ 2.98% (0.0010000000000003 0)
7-0 @ 2.63% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.07% (0.029 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.93% (0.024 0.02)
7-1 @ 1.59% (-0.002 -0)
5-2 @ 1.44% (0.015 0.01)
8-0 @ 1.23% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 4.9%
Total : 90.97%
1-1 @ 2.94% (0.023 0.02)
2-2 @ 1.66% (0.025 0.03)
0-0 @ 1.3% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 6.38%
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 2.65%

How you voted: Fenerbahce vs Istanbulspor

Fenerbahce
89.5%
Draw
0.0%
Istanbulspor
10.5%
19
Head to Head
Jan 7, 2024 1pm
Gameweek 19
Istanbulspor
1-5
Fenerbahce
Sarikaya (32')
Sarikaya (9'), Arda (63'), Coly (90+1')
Under (6', 34', 44', 46'), Dzeko (45+1')
Elmaz (90+7')
Apr 24, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 31
Fenerbahce
3-3
Istanbulspor
Guler (25', 51'), Pedro (71')
Ethemi (57' pen., 66'), Eze (90+6')
Oct 30, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 12
Istanbulspor
2-5
Fenerbahce
Topalli (48', 67')
Batshuayi (18' pen., 49', 88'), Kahveci (36'), Valencia (86')