Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 66.5%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Besiktas had a probability of 14.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 1-0 (8.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.58%), while for a Besiktas win it was 1-2 (4.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Fenerbahce in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Fenerbahce.