Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 32
Apr 14, 2024 at 5pm UK
Vefa Stadi

Karagumruk
1 - 2
Fenerbahce

Keles (45+1')
Eysseric (11'), Kafkas (12'), Ceccherini (55'), Marcao (74'), Biraschi (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Dzeko (49'), Batshuayi (57' pen.)
Aziz (26'), Osayi-Samuel (55'), Zajc (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Fatih Karagumruk and Fenerbahce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fatih Karagumruk

All competitions
Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Sivasspor 1-0 Karagumruk
Wednesday, April 3 at 3pm in Turkish Super Lig

Fenerbahce

All competitions
Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Olympiacos 3-2 Fenerbahce
Thursday, April 11 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 47.15%. A win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 28.16% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.38%) and 0-2 (7.91%). The likeliest Fatih Karagumruk win was 1-0 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.

Result
Fatih KaragumrukDrawFenerbahce
28.16% (-0.424 -0.42)24.7% (0.125 0.13)47.15% (0.298 0.3)
Both teams to score 55.49% (-0.712 -0.71)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.83% (-0.799 -0.8)47.17% (0.799 0.8)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.6% (-0.749 -0.75)69.4% (0.747 0.75)
Fatih Karagumruk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.42% (-0.71899999999999 -0.72)30.58% (0.718 0.72)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.19% (-0.86 -0.86)66.81% (0.85899999999999 0.86)
Fenerbahce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.93% (-0.19799999999999 -0.2)20.07% (0.195 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.7% (-0.314 -0.31)52.3% (0.313 0.31)
Score Analysis
    Fatih Karagumruk 28.16%
    Fenerbahce 47.15%
    Draw 24.69%
Fatih KaragumrukDrawFenerbahce
1-0 @ 7.27% (0.099 0.1)
2-1 @ 6.92% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
2-0 @ 4.31% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-1 @ 2.73% (-0.09 -0.09)
3-2 @ 2.19% (-0.086 -0.09)
3-0 @ 1.7% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 28.16%
1-1 @ 11.67% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 6.14% (0.203 0.2)
2-2 @ 5.56% (-0.103 -0.1)
3-3 @ 1.18% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.69%
0-1 @ 9.86% (0.267 0.27)
1-2 @ 9.38% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
0-2 @ 7.91% (0.168 0.17)
1-3 @ 5.02% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
0-3 @ 4.24% (0.064 0.06)
2-3 @ 2.97% (-0.073 -0.07)
1-4 @ 2.02% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.7% (0.016 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.19% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 47.15%

How you voted: Karagumruk vs Fenerbahce

Fatih Karagumruk
3.6%
Draw
3.6%
Fenerbahce
92.9%
28
Head to Head
Nov 26, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 13
Fenerbahce
2-1
Karagumruk
Tadic (48' pen., 58')
Crespo (45+2'), Szymanski (68'), Tadic (87'), Akaydin (90+6'), Under (90+1')
Keles (39')
Ceccherini (34'), Dituro (47'), Mercan (56'), Dresevic (81')
> Preview
Apr 10, 2023 6.30pm
Gameweek 28
Karagumruk
1-2
Fenerbahce
Ozdoyev (24')
Zajc (51'), Szalai (78')
> Preview
Oct 9, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 9
Fenerbahce
5-4
Karagumruk
Crespo (9'), Valencia (28', 62' pen., 73' pen.), Batshuayi (90+5')
Borini (16', 66'), Kouassi (24'), Kapacak (83')
> Preview
May 15, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 37
Fenerbahce
0-0
Karagumruk
Kahveci (61'), Sangare (71'), Tisserand (84'), Osayi-Samuel (89')
Bekaroglu (14'), Borini (85')
> Preview
Dec 22, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 18
Karagumruk
1-1
Fenerbahce
Pesic (31')
Ugur (67')
Bekaroglu (37'), Erkin (38')
Ozil (40' pen.)
Kahveci (72')
> Preview