Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adana Demirspor win with a probability of 50.56%. A win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 26.64% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adana Demirspor win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.13%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Fatih Karagumruk win was 1-2 (6.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Adana Demirspor would win this match.