Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fatih Karagumruk win with a probability of 52.97%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Caykur Rizespor had a probability of 23.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fatih Karagumruk win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.74%) and 2-0 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.27%), while for a Caykur Rizespor win it was 0-1 (6.53%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fatih Karagumruk would win this match.