Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 23
Jan 28, 2024 at 1pm UK
Vefa Stadi

Karagumruk
4 - 0
Caykur Rizespor

Eysseric (38'), Dursun (66' pen.), Mercan (75'), Keles (85')
Teklic (28'), Onur (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Pala (63'), Pinchi (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Fatih Karagumruk and Caykur Rizespor, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fatih Karagumruk

All competitions
Last Game: Ankaragucu 2-0 Karagumruk
Wednesday, January 24 at 2pm in Turkish Super Lig

Caykur Rizespor

All competitions
Last Game: Caykur Rizespor 1-0 Trabzonspor
Thursday, January 25 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fatih Karagumruk win with a probability of 52.97%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Caykur Rizespor had a probability of 23.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fatih Karagumruk win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.74%) and 2-0 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.27%), while for a Caykur Rizespor win it was 0-1 (6.53%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fatih Karagumruk would win this match.

Result
Fatih KaragumrukDrawCaykur Rizespor
52.97% (-0.308 -0.31)23.78% (0.094999999999999 0.09)23.24% (0.209 0.21)
Both teams to score 53.73% (-0.046000000000006 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.74% (-0.186 -0.19)47.26% (0.184 0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.51% (-0.173 -0.17)69.49% (0.17 0.17)
Fatih Karagumruk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.21% (-0.185 -0.19)17.79% (0.182 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.49% (-0.317 -0.32)48.5% (0.314 0.31)
Caykur Rizespor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.36% (0.087000000000003 0.09)34.64% (-0.089999999999996 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.64% (0.094999999999999 0.09)71.36% (-0.096999999999994 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Fatih Karagumruk 52.97%
    Caykur Rizespor 23.24%
    Draw 23.77%
Fatih KaragumrukDrawCaykur Rizespor
1-0 @ 10.63% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.74% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-0 @ 9.18% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
3-1 @ 5.6% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-0 @ 5.29% (-0.054 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.97% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.42% (-0.033 -0.03)
4-0 @ 2.28% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.28% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 52.97%
1-1 @ 11.27% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 6.16% (0.048 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.16% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-3 @ 1.05% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.77%
0-1 @ 6.53% (0.066000000000001 0.07)
1-2 @ 5.98% (0.04 0.04)
0-2 @ 3.46% (0.043 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.11% (0.019 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.82% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.22% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 23.24%

Head to Head
Sep 1, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 4
Caykur Rizespor
1-0
Karagumruk
Varesanovic (45+1')
Ibrahim Pehlivan (66'), Han Topcu (74'), Akkan (77')

Dresevic (33'), Shukurov (90+7')
> Preview
Jan 15, 2022 1pm
Gameweek 21
Karagumruk
2-0
Caykur Rizespor
Pesic (31'), Dursun (75')
Biglia (26'), Zukanovic (72'), Salibur (86')
Zukanovic (77')

Holmen (55'), Sabo (86')
> Preview
Aug 21, 2021 5.15pm
Gameweek 2
Caykur Rizespor
0-0
Karagumruk
Baiano (81')
Durmaz (90+3')
Apr 3, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 32
Caykur Rizespor
0-0
Karagumruk
Koybasi (23'), Skoda (51')
Skoda (56')
Biglia (17'), Sobiech (69')
Dec 6, 2020 10.30am
Gameweek 11
Karagumruk
2-1
Caykur Rizespor
Ndao (15', 25')
Sobiech (17'), Erdinc (85'), Arveladze (88'), Erdem (90+4')
Meriah (20')
Donsah (33')