Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 26
Feb 16, 2024 at 5pm UK
Recep Tayyip Erdogan Stadyumu

Kasimpasa
1 - 1
Karagumruk

da Costa (11')
Porozo (69'), da Costa (71')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Eysseric (38')
Mor (70'), Mor (78'), Mendes (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Kasimpasa and Fatih Karagumruk, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kasimpasa

All competitions
Last Game: Adana Demirspor 1-3 Kasimpasa
Friday, February 9 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig

Fatih Karagumruk

All competitions
Last Game: Karagumruk 2-0 Pendikspor
Saturday, February 10 at 1pm in Turkish Super Lig

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kasimpasa win with a probability of 49.5%. A win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 26.45% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kasimpasa win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 2-0 (8.17%). The likeliest Fatih Karagumruk win was 0-1 (6.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.

Result
KasimpasaDrawFatih Karagumruk
49.5% (0.0039999999999978 0)24.05% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)26.45% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Both teams to score 56.24% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.47% (0.039000000000001 0.04)45.53% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.14% (0.036000000000001 0.04)67.86% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Kasimpasa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.53% (0.01700000000001 0.02)18.47% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.33% (0.028000000000006 0.03)49.66% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Fatih Karagumruk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.98% (0.02600000000001 0.03)31.01% (-0.023 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.67% (0.030999999999999 0.03)67.32% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Kasimpasa 49.5%
    Fatih Karagumruk 26.45%
    Draw 24.04%
KasimpasaDrawFatih Karagumruk
1-0 @ 9.68% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.57%
2-0 @ 8.17% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.39% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 4.6%
3-2 @ 3.15% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 2.28% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.94% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.33% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 49.5%
1-1 @ 11.32% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.73% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.6% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-3 @ 1.23% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.04%
0-1 @ 6.71% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.63% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 3.93% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 2.59% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 2.19% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.53% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 26.45%

How you voted: Kasimpasa vs Karagumruk

Kasimpasa
93.1%
Draw
3.4%
Fatih Karagumruk
3.4%
29
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