Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 20
Jan 13, 2024 at 10.30am UK
Ankara Ondokuz Mayis Stadyumu

Ankaragucu
3 - 1
Kasimpasa

Mujakic (45+1'), Bajic (64'), Pedrinho (83')
Kitsiou (24')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Kara (35')
Ozcan (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Ankaragucu and Kasimpasa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ankaragucu

All competitions
Last Game: Alanyaspor 1-1 Ankaragucu
Tuesday, January 9 at 2pm in Turkish Super Lig

Kasimpasa

All competitions
Last Game: Kasimpasa 0-3 Istanbul
Tuesday, January 9 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ankaragucu win with a probability of 46.18%. A win for Kasimpasa had a probability of 29.2% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ankaragucu win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Kasimpasa win was 0-1 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ankaragucu would win this match.

Result
AnkaragucuDrawKasimpasa
46.18% (-0.105 -0.11)24.62% (0.009999999999998 0.01)29.2% (0.093 0.09)
Both teams to score 56.46% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.79% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)46.21% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.5% (0.004999999999999 0)68.5% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Ankaragucu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.91% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)20.09% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.66% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)52.33% (0.066000000000003 0.07)
Kasimpasa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.66% (0.067999999999998 0.07)29.34% (-0.07 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.68% (0.084000000000003 0.08)65.31% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Ankaragucu 46.18%
    Kasimpasa 29.2%
    Draw 24.62%
AnkaragucuDrawKasimpasa
1-0 @ 9.46% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.31% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.59% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.98% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.06% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.05% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.63% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.23% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 46.18%
1-1 @ 11.6% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.89% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-2 @ 5.71% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 1.25% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.62%
0-1 @ 7.23% (0.012 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.11% (0.016 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.43% (0.016 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.91% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.33% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.81% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 29.2%

How you voted: Ankaragucu vs Kasimpasa

Ankaragucu
20.0%
Draw
40.0%
Kasimpasa
40.0%
5
Head to Head
Aug 12, 2023 5.15pm
Gameweek 1
Kasimpasa
3-2
Ankaragucu
Ben Ouannes (30', 90+3'), Fall (69')
Ben Ouannes (90+4')
Bekiroglu (73'), Cephas (78')
> Preview
Apr 29, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 32
Ankaragucu
0-0
Kasimpasa
> Preview
Nov 4, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 13
Kasimpasa
1-1
Ankaragucu
Koita (58')
Chatzigiovanis (85')
> Preview
May 11, 2021 6.30pm
Gameweek 41
Kasimpasa
3-1
Ankaragucu
Hadergjonaj (9' pen.), Koc (13'), Yildirim (90+5')
Hadergjonaj (42'), Kiese Thelin (59'), Sadiku (61'), Bistrovic (84')
Badji (85')
Badji (13'), Kitsiou (32'), Turan (81')
Jan 21, 2021 4pm
Gameweek 20
Ankaragucu
1-0
Kasimpasa
Hadergjonaj (16' og.)
Cekici (45+2'), Cankaya (53'), Pinto (71'), Celikay (90+1'), Gural (90+6')

Kara (24'), Hodzic (32'), Brecka (36'), Erdogan (44'), Sadiku (80')