Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kasimpasa win with a probability of 58.2%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Hatayspor had a probability of 20.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kasimpasa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.11%) and 2-0 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.96%), while for a Hatayspor win it was 1-2 (5.44%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kasimpasa would win this match.

Result
Kasimpasa	Draw	Hatayspor
58.2% ( 2.42)	21.46% ( -0.41)	20.34% ( -2.02)

Both teams to score 57.41% (

-1.65)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.55% (

-0.77)

40.44% (

0.77)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.18% (

-0.79)

62.82% (

0.79)

Kasimpasa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.35% (

0.5)

13.64% (

-0.5)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.18% (

0.98)

40.82% (

-0.98)

Hatayspor Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.48% (

-2.3)

33.52% (

2.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.84% (

-2.6)

70.16% (

2.6)

Score Analysis

Kasimpasa 58.2%

Hatayspor 20.34%

Draw 21.46%

Kasimpasa	Draw	Hatayspor
2-1 @ 9.92% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 9.11% ( 0.48) 2-0 @ 9.07% ( 0.63) 3-1 @ 6.59% ( 0.17) 3-0 @ 6.02% ( 0.52) 3-2 @ 3.6% ( -0.13) 4-1 @ 3.28% ( 0.14) 4-0 @ 3% ( 0.31) 4-2 @ 1.79% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 1.31% ( 0.08) 5-0 @ 1.2% ( 0.14) Other @ 3.32% Total : 58.2%	1-1 @ 9.96% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 5.42% ( -0.3) 0-0 @ 4.57% ( 0.16) 3-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.14) Other @ 0.2% Total : 21.46%	1-2 @ 5.44% ( -0.41) 0-1 @ 5% ( -0.14) 0-2 @ 2.73% ( -0.26) 1-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.29) 2-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.25) 0-3 @ 1% ( -0.17) Other @ 2.21% Total : 20.34%