Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 27
Feb 25, 2024 at 1pm UK
Vefa Stadi
Alanyaspor

Karagumruk
1 - 1
Alanyaspor

Eysseric (24')
Lasagna (65'), Mercan (90+3'), Kourbelis (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Mahgoub (90+5' pen.)
Lima (49'), Hadergjonaj (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Fatih Karagumruk and Alanyaspor, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fatih Karagumruk

All competitions
Last Game: Kasimpasa 1-1 Karagumruk
Friday, February 16 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig

Alanyaspor

All competitions
Last Game: Alanyaspor 3-3 Adana Demirspor
Sunday, February 18 at 10.30am in Turkish Super Lig

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fatih Karagumruk win with a probability of 55.05%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Alanyaspor had a probability of 22.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fatih Karagumruk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.82%) and 2-0 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.68%), while for an Alanyaspor win it was 1-2 (5.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Fatih KaragumrukDrawAlanyaspor
55.05% (-0.45800000000001 -0.46)22.74% (0.185 0.18)22.21% (0.276 0.28)
Both teams to score 55.84% (-0.235 -0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.16% (-0.494 -0.49)43.84% (0.496 0.5)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.77% (-0.485 -0.48)66.23% (0.486 0.49)
Fatih Karagumruk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.19% (-0.32600000000001 -0.33)15.81% (0.328 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.03% (-0.609 -0.61)44.97% (0.61 0.61)
Alanyaspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.32% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)33.68% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.67% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)70.33% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Fatih Karagumruk 55.05%
    Alanyaspor 22.21%
    Draw 22.73%
Fatih KaragumrukDrawAlanyaspor
2-1 @ 9.86% (-0.014999999999999 -0.01)
1-0 @ 9.82% (0.102 0.1)
2-0 @ 9.06% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.06% (-0.079 -0.08)
3-0 @ 5.57% (-0.07 -0.07)
3-2 @ 3.3% (-0.045 -0.04)
4-1 @ 2.8% (-0.068 -0.07)
4-0 @ 2.57% (-0.061 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.52% (-0.038 -0.04)
5-1 @ 1.03% (-0.037 -0.04)
5-0 @ 0.95% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 55.05%
1-1 @ 10.68% (0.1 0.1)
2-2 @ 5.37% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.32% (0.114 0.11)
3-3 @ 1.2% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 22.73%
1-2 @ 5.82% (0.053 0.05)
0-1 @ 5.8% (0.121 0.12)
0-2 @ 3.15% (0.064 0.06)
1-3 @ 2.11% (0.018 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.95% (-0.006 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.14% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 22.21%

Head to Head
Oct 6, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 8
Alanyaspor
2-1
Karagumruk
Eduardo (18'), Aydin (83')
Bayir (62'), Ozdemir (72'), Taskiran (90+6'), Janvier (90')
Yalcin (90+2')
Shukurov (39')
> Preview
Jan 22, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 20
Alanyaspor
2-2
Karagumruk
Gunes (6'), Cavaleiro (83')
Borini (59', 79')
> Preview
Aug 7, 2022 5.15pm
Gameweek 1
Karagumruk
2-4
Alanyaspor
Borini (55'), Biraschi (72')
Shukurov (36'), Borini (54')
Eduardo (19', 70'), Bekiroglu (28'), Yardimci (90+3')
Bayir (15'), Candeias (45+3'), Bingol (76')
May 22, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 38
Karagumruk
0-1
Alanyaspor

Luckassen (90+3')
Karaca (37')
Awaziem (33'), Fer (55')
> Preview
Dec 26, 2021 1pm
Gameweek 19
Alanyaspor
1-1
Karagumruk
Bekiroglu (57')
Bingol (21')
Pesic (70')
Durmaz (6'), Dursun (83')
> Preview