UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg

Apr 11, 2024 at 5.45pm UK

Stadio Georgios Karaiskaki

Olympiacos
3 - 2
Fenerbahce

(3-3 on aggregate)

Fortounis (8'), Jovetic (32'), Chiquinho (57')
Retsos (67'), Masouras (78')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Tadic (68' pen.), Kahveci (74')
Kahveci (22'), Fred (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Olympiacos and Fenerbahce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Olympiacos

All competitions

Europa Conference League

Last Game: Lamia 1-5 Olympiacos
Sunday, April 7 at 3pm in Greek Superleague

Goals
for

Top scorers

Fenerbahce

All competitions

Europa Conference League

Last Game: Fenerbahce 4-2 Adana Demirspor
Wednesday, April 3 at 6.30pm in Turkish Super Lig

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olympiacos win with a probability of 41.84%. A win for Fenerbahce had a probability of 32.94% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Olympiacos win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Fenerbahce win was 0-1 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Olympiacos would win this match.

Result
Olympiacos	Draw	Fenerbahce
41.84% ( 0.04)	25.22% ( 0.02)	32.94% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 56.27% (

-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.73% (

-0.11)

47.27% (

0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.5% (

-0.1)

69.5% (

0.1)

Olympiacos Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.49% (

-0.02)

22.51% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.92% (

-0.04)

56.08% (

0.04)

Fenerbahce Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.61% (

-0.09)

27.39% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.14% (

-0.11)

62.86% (

0.11)

Score Analysis

Olympiacos 41.84%

Fenerbahce 32.94%

Draw 25.21%

Olympiacos	Draw	Fenerbahce
1-0 @ 9.19% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.88% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.85% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.41% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.41% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.86% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.65% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.27% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.07% ( -0) Other @ 2.26% Total : 41.84%	1-1 @ 11.9% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.16% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.75% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.21%	0-1 @ 7.98% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.71% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.17% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.33% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.48% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.96% Total : 32.94%