Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 40.76%. A win for Union SG had a probability of 34.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.76%) and 0-2 (6.62%). The likeliest Union SG win was 1-0 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.

Result
Union SG	Draw	Fenerbahce
34.02% ( 0.03)	25.22% ( 0.02)	40.76% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 56.55% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.96% (

-0.07)

47.04% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.72% (

-0.06)

69.28% (

0.07)

Union SG Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.38% (

-0.01)

26.61% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.16% (

-0.02)

61.84% (

0.02)

Fenerbahce Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.06% (

-0.05)

22.94% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.29% (

-0.08)

56.71% (

0.08)

Score Analysis

Union SG 34.02%

Fenerbahce 40.76%

Draw 25.21%

Union SG	Draw	Fenerbahce
1-0 @ 8.08% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.88% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.35% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.47% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.56% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.36% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.15% Other @ 3.17% Total : 34.02%	1-1 @ 11.89% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.1% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.8% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.26% ( -0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.21%	0-1 @ 8.99% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.76% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.62% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.3% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.25% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.85% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.58% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.2% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.05% ( -0) Other @ 2.17% Total : 40.76%